Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Nuno Borges
5 signals across 1 market · $11,284 tracked · resolves May 8, 2026
This event tracks the Cagliari tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Nuno Borges, with prediction-market odds on which player advances. PolySpotter has flagged $11,284 in smart money across 5 signals, including activity from a 95% win-rate tennis sharp and profitable sports bettors backing the matchup.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 93% sports bettor hit early
A high-performing sports bettor with a 93% record bought Arnaldi at 57¢ before the market moved to 100%, making this a strong follow/study signal but no longer a good live entry.
$1,125Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 9.5 - 95% win-rate tennis sharp
A highly proven sports bettor with a 95% record bought Nuno Borges before a sharp price move from 68¢ to 82¢.
$2,697Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 9.5 - Profitable sports pro backing underdog
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 72% win rate and $6.8M lifetime profit bought Nuno Borges, though the market has moved against their 33¢ entry.
$1,662Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 8.0 - Profitable serial bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 70% resolved win rate bought Arnaldi at 67¢ before the market moved to 74¢.
$3,907Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 5.5 - 78% serial sports bettor
Serial cross-market sports bettor with a 78% resolved win rate bought Nuno Borges, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
$1,893Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x27b0f6…fc67$3,907 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
- 0x51eb09…6bfa$2,697 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0xb58529…53ed$1,893 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$1,662 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0x016582…8235$1,125 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
FAQs
What are the Arnaldi vs Borges prediction market odds?
The event market prices the chance that Matteo Arnaldi or Nuno Borges advances in their Cagliari match. Odds can move as traders react to form, injuries, lineup news, and smart-money activity.
What is the smart money doing on Arnaldi vs Borges?
PolySpotter has tracked $11,284 in smart money across 5 signals for this event, including alerts from a 95% win-rate tennis sharp, a 93% sports bettor hitting early, and profitable serial sports bettors.
Is anyone backing the underdog in Arnaldi vs Borges?
One recent signal flagged a profitable sports pro backing the underdog, suggesting at least some experienced bettors see value against the market favorite.
When does the Arnaldi vs Borges market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve based on which player advances in the Cagliari match. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner, it resolves according to the event rules.
Where can I track Arnaldi vs Borges on Polymarket?
This hub follows the Arnaldi vs Borges Cagliari prediction market, including live pricing, outcome probabilities, and PolySpotter smart-money alerts as bettors take positions.