Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Nuno Borges
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Nuno Borges in the Cagliari, originally scheduled for May 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Nuno Borges. This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,284.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
93% sports bettor hit early
A high-performing sports bettor with a 93% record bought Arnaldi at 57¢ before the market moved to 100%, making this a strong follow/study signal but no longer a good live entry.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $57.6K lifetime.
- They bought Arnaldi at 57¢ before the market moved to 100%.
- This wallet has traded across 45 events with the same 93% hit rate.
$1,125 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 93%
95% win-rate tennis sharp
A highly proven sports bettor with a 95% record bought Nuno Borges before a sharp price move from 68¢ to 82¢.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved bets across 2,060 positions and is up $168K lifetime.
- They bought Nuno Borges at 68¢ shortly before the price jumped to 82¢.
- This wallet has traded across 150 events with the same 95% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
$2,697 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 95%
Profitable sports pro backing underdog
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 72% win rate and $6.8M lifetime profit bought Nuno Borges, though the market has moved against their 33¢ entry.
- This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $6.8M lifetime.
- They have traded across 1,199 events with $11.5M in total volume, suggesting a serious sports betting track record.
- They bought Nuno Borges at 33¢, and the current 26¢ price is cheaper than their entry.
$1,662 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 70% resolved win rate bought Arnaldi at 67¢ before the market moved to 74¢.
- This bettor wins 70% of resolved bets and is up $150K lifetime.
- They have traded across 50 events with $111K in similar cross-market activity.
- Their Arnaldi entry at 67¢ is already beating the current 74¢ market price.
$3,907 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 70%
78% serial sports bettor
Serial cross-market sports bettor with a 78% resolved win rate bought Nuno Borges, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has won 78% of resolved trades and is up $6.2K lifetime.
- They have traded across 25 sports events, suggesting a repeatable match-betting strategy.
- They bought Nuno Borges at 74¢, while the current market is around 54¢.
$1,893 on Nuno Borges | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0x6a88...b859 — Matteo Arnaldi, $30,218 (99% win rate)
- 0x51eb...6bfa — Nuno Borges, $5,309 (95% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Nuno Borges, $5,253 (55% win rate)
- 0x491b...428e — Nuno Borges, $5,000
- 0x507e...beae — Nuno Borges, $3,929 (50% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Matteo Arnaldi, $3,842 (72% win rate)
- 0x8e8c...65dd — Nuno Borges, $2,756 (46% win rate)
- 0xb585...53ed — Nuno Borges, $2,550 (78% win rate)
- 0x77f6...dbd1 — Nuno Borges, $2,131 (45% win rate)
- 0x0165...8235 — Matteo Arnaldi, $2,126 (93% win rate)
