Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon
19 signals across 2 markets · $143,456 tracked · resolves Jun 6, 2026
This Roland Garros ATP event tracks the prediction market for Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has flagged $1,444 in smart money activity, including a “serial bettor in quiet market” signal that may be useful for monitoring late odds movement.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 75% winner-led cluster
Three wallets are aligned on Collignon, led by a bettor with a 75% record and $401k profit plus a serial cross-market trader profile.
$3,502Score: 8.1 - Elite 90% winner buying underdog
Elite profitable sports bettor with a 90% long-run win record is buying Matteo Arnaldi at 34¢, supported by a strong serial cross-market track record.
$1,701Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 8.0 - Repeat new whale on Collignon
A repeat new-wallet whale put $27.9k on Collignon amid a 71x pre-event volume spike, suggesting informed tennis positioning despite no resolved track record yet.
$27,948Score: 7.9 - Sharp wallets backing favorite
Three wallets bought $23.5k of Arnaldi, led by two highly profitable bettors including a 93% winner up $945k lifetime, amid a major pre-match volume spike and price move.
$23,514Score: 7.6 - New whale backs favorite
A new wallet put $12.2k on Collignon amid a 162x pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction on a plausible sports edge.
$12,232Score: 7.2 - New tennis whale
New wallet put $23.3k into Raphael Collignon across three buys during a 39x pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction despite no resolved track record.
$23,294Score: 7.1 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports trader with a 72% resolved win rate bought Over 3.5 in a very quiet tennis market with a bet over 11x the prior 24h volume.
$1,088Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 7.0 - Proven tennis sharp buying
Sharp sports bettor with an 80% win rate and $385k lifetime profit bought Matteo Arnaldi at 38¢ in a very quiet tennis market.
$1,140Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 7.0 - 77% winning tennis sharp
Sharp serial sports bettor with a 77% win rate and $329k lifetime profit bought Raphael Collignon in a relatively small tennis market.
$2,240Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 6.0 - Elite tennis bettor buying Collignon
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with an 80% long-term win rate bought $8.6k of Raphael Collignon amid a pre-event volume spike.
$8,573Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 6.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x3d6ac5…c2b5$82,988 · 1 market · 4 alerts
- 0x780a75…84f0$10,252 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0xcf6c54…7e66$9,663 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 80% wins
- 0x6b97eb…8d30$4,688 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 76% wins
- 0x0a2605…1851$2,445 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 75% wins
- 0x9c76cd…c926$1,701 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0x45e40d…7e20$1,444 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins
- 0xb3cfe7…0ebd$1,140 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xd4c3d2…60d9$1,088 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0x3555ff…ba40$1,029 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
FAQs
What are the Arnaldi vs Collignon odds on Polymarket?
The Polymarket odds reflect the market-implied chance that Matteo Arnaldi or Raphael Collignon advances in their Roland Garros ATP match. Check the event page for live pricing, liquidity, and recent changes.
What is the smart money doing on Arnaldi vs Collignon?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,444 in smart money across this event from 1 signal. The latest alert notes a serial bettor entering a relatively quiet market, which can be a sign worth watching as match time approaches.
How does this prediction market resolve?
The market resolves to Matteo Arnaldi if Arnaldi advances, and to Raphael Collignon if Collignon advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market’s stated rules without a winner, resolution follows Polymarket’s event terms.
When does the Arnaldi vs Collignon market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET, and the event is set to resolve by June 6, 2026, depending on the official match result and any delays.