Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon
25 signals across 2 markets · $188,738 tracked · resolves Jun 6, 2026
This Roland Garros ATP event tracks the prediction market for Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has flagged $1,444 in smart money activity, including a “serial bettor in quiet market” signal that may be useful for monitoring late odds movement.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Four-wallet Arnaldi fade
Coordinated Arnaldi selling effectively built a Collignon position at much better than current odds, backed by a new profitable wallet and a major pre-event volume spike, though opposing Arnaldi flow makes it contested.
$11,972Score: 20.4 - 94% winner leads cluster
High-scoring Arnaldi cluster led by a 94% winning bettor and reinforced by heavy one-sided flow, a major volume spike, and strong price momentum.
$35,938Score: 18.7 - Profitable pro joins steam
A highly profitable serial sports bettor bought Arnaldi alongside 8-wallet one-sided flow, a 26x volume spike, and a major price move upward.
$1,267Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 13.9 - New profitable Collignon flow
High-score alert from a brand-new profitable wallet joining one-sided Collignon flow during a major volume spike.
$2,561Wallet win rate: 20%Score: 13.9 - 94% winner joins Arnaldi flow
Sharp 94% winning wallet bought Matteo Arnaldi amid coordinated one-sided flow, a major volume spike, and strong price impact.
$4,799Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 13.0 - 8-wallet Arnaldi surge
Strong coordinated Arnaldi flow from 8 wallets, backed by a profitable high-volume bettor, a 26x volume spike, and a sharp price move.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 11.9 - Sharp cluster buying underdog
Five wallets, including highly profitable tennis/sports-style traders, are collectively positioning on Raphael Collignon after a sharp odds move.
$11,631Score: 11.3 - Elite 90% winner buying underdog
Elite profitable sports bettor with a 90% long-run win record is buying Matteo Arnaldi at 34¢, supported by a strong serial cross-market track record.
$1,701Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 8.0 - Repeat new whale on Collignon
A repeat new-wallet whale put $27.9k on Collignon amid a 71x pre-event volume spike, suggesting informed tennis positioning despite no resolved track record yet.
$27,948Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 7.9 - New whale backs favorite
A new wallet put $12.2k on Collignon amid a 162x pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction on a plausible sports edge.
$12,232Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 7.2
Top wallets in this event
- 0x3d6ac5…c2b5$82,988 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 56% wins
- 0x780a75…84f0$10,252 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0xcf6c54…7e66$9,663 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 81% wins
- 0x2fa0ad…be6d$4,799 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x6b97eb…8d30$4,688 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 82% wins
- 0xc5ae72…a3d4$2,561 · 1 market · 1 alert · 20% wins
- 0x0a2605…1851$2,445 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 77% wins
- 0xae5123…1d03$2,130 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins
- 0x8a2696…937e$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
- 0x9c76cd…c926$1,701 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
FAQs
What are the Arnaldi vs Collignon odds on Polymarket?
The Polymarket odds reflect the market-implied chance that Matteo Arnaldi or Raphael Collignon advances in their Roland Garros ATP match. Check the event page for live pricing, liquidity, and recent changes.
What is the smart money doing on Arnaldi vs Collignon?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,444 in smart money across this event from 1 signal. The latest alert notes a serial bettor entering a relatively quiet market, which can be a sign worth watching as match time approaches.
How does this prediction market resolve?
The market resolves to Matteo Arnaldi if Arnaldi advances, and to Raphael Collignon if Collignon advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market’s stated rules without a winner, resolution follows Polymarket’s event terms.
When does the Arnaldi vs Collignon market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET, and the event is set to resolve by June 6, 2026, depending on the official match result and any delays.