When does the Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve by June 6, 2026, after the match result is known. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, special resolution rules may apply.

How much smart money is tracked on this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $3,502 in smart money on this market, with 1 smart money signal detected.

What do the recent smart money alerts suggest?

Recent alerts mention a 75% winner-led cluster, an elite 90% winner buying the underdog, repeat whale activity on Collignon, and sharp wallets backing the favorite. This suggests notable activity on both sides of the market.

Where can I follow Arnaldi vs Collignon Polymarket odds?

You can follow this page for live Polymarket-style market context, smart money signals, and odds movement related to Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon at Roland Garros ATP.

Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon

Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon

Q: What is the Arnaldi vs Collignon prediction market about?

This market asks which player will advance in the Roland Garros ATP match between Matteo Arnaldi and Raphael Collignon. It resolves to Arnaldi if he advances, or Collignon if he advances.

This prediction market covers the Roland Garros ATP match between Matteo Arnaldi and Raphael Collignon, originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with resolution expected by June 6, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $3,502 in smart money and 1 signal, including whale and sharp-wallet activity around both the favorite and underdog.

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Raphael Collignon in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Raphael Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Collignon' if Raphael Collignon advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

18 smart money signals detected, totaling $142,368.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

75% winner-led cluster

Three wallets are aligned on Collignon, led by a bettor with a 75% record and $401k profit plus a serial cross-market trader profile.

A bettor who wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $401k is backing Collignon.
The same-side flow totals $3.5k across 3 wallets, including a serial cross-market trader with 486 events tracked.
Their average entry is about 55¢, while Collignon is now around 46¢.

$3,502 on Raphael Collignon

Proven serial sports trader

Sharp serial sports trader with a 75% win rate and +$401k lifetime P&L bought Raphael Collignon despite the market drifting back to 50/50.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $402k lifetime.
They have traded across 486 events with over $2.0M in total volume, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge.
They bought Raphael Collignon at 53¢ in a now-even market, so followers may be able to enter cheaper than the original trade.

$1,245 on Raphael Collignon | Wallet win rate: 75%

Sharp wallets backing favorite

Three wallets bought $23.5k of Arnaldi, led by two highly profitable bettors including a 93% winner up $945k lifetime, amid a major pre-match volume spike and price move.

The lead bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up about $945k lifetime.
Another buyer wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $181k, adding $9.8k on the same side.
Arnaldi has moved up 31 points in 24 hours with a 32.5x volume spike, matching the one-sided flow.

$23,514 on Matteo Arnaldi

85% win-rate bettor

Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 85% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit, making the $10.3k Collignon buy worth surfacing despite the low composite score.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $181k lifetime.
They put $10.3k on Raphael Collignon at 71¢, showing meaningful conviction.
Their historical edge is strong: 11 wins from 13 resolved bets at average odds of 59%.

$10,252 on Raphael Collignon | Wallet win rate: 85%

Repeat new whale on Collignon

A repeat new-wallet whale put $27.9k on Collignon amid a 71x pre-event volume spike, suggesting informed tennis positioning despite no resolved track record yet.

This new wallet has now been flagged 7 times, with $57.9k in large bets.
It put $27.9k on Raphael Collignon at 69¢ before the match.
Market activity is surging 71x above normal, adding support to the move.

$27,948 on Raphael Collignon

Repeat new-wallet whale

A repeat new-wallet whale put $19.5k on Collignon, bringing its flagged large-bet total to nearly $50k, making this a notable conviction sports trade despite no resolved track record yet.

A new wallet is repeatedly making large bets, with $49k flagged across 6 alerts.
This is a sizable $19.5k buy on Collignon in a tennis market with plausible sharp-bettor edge.
Entry at 69¢ implies they are backing Collignon as a strong favorite despite only modest recent price movement.

$19,515 on Raphael Collignon

New tennis whale

New wallet put $23.3k into Raphael Collignon across three buys during a 39x pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction despite no resolved track record.

A new wallet bought $23.3k of Raphael Collignon across three trades.
The market is seeing a 39x pre-match volume spike, suggesting broader money is arriving too.
Entry around 67¢ means the bettor is backing Collignon as a strong favorite.

$23,294 on Raphael Collignon

New whale backs favorite

A new wallet put $12.2k on Collignon amid a 162x pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction on a plausible sports edge.

A new wallet bought $12.2k of Raphael Collignon in two quick trades.
Market volume spiked 162x above its historical average before the match.
Entry around 67¢ suggests they are making a confident favorite bet, not chasing a longshot.

$12,232 on Raphael Collignon

75% sharp flips to Collignon

Sharp, profitable serial cross-market wallet is effectively backing Raphael Collignon by selling Matteo Arnaldi, despite this looking like an exit from a prior Arnaldi position.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $307k lifetime.
They are a very active cross-market trader, with 123 events and $367k in tracked volume.
Selling Arnaldi at 33¢ is equivalent to backing Collignon around 67¢.

$1,188 on Raphael Collignon | Wallet win rate: 76%