US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchi
9 signals across 2 markets · $55,218 tracked · resolves Sep 1, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks the US Open ATP qualifying match between Yunchaokete Bu and Rio Noguchi, with the market covering either player advancing. PolySpotter has tracked $12,685 in smart money across the event, including a signal from a serial sharp bettor scaling into Bu.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Coordinated Bu-buying cluster
Three wallets committed $17,250 to Yunchaokete Bu amid a 73.8x volume spike, including a highly experienced 82% winner and a profitable new repeat bettor.
$17,250Score: 7.4 - Serial sharp bettor scaling into Bu
A proven 90% winner with substantial positive edge added $12.7K to an existing Yunchaokete Bu position amid an extreme volume spike.
$12,685Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.5 - 94% win-rate bettor adds to Bu
A highly profitable tennis bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Bu position at 72%.
$6,897Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 5.4 - 90% winner adds to Bu position
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 90% win rate added to a large existing position amid a major volume spike.
$1,046Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.2 - 90% winner adds to Bu position
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 90% win rate added to a large existing position amid a major volume spike.
$1,186Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 4.7 - 90% winner adds to Bu position
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 90% win rate added to a large existing position amid a major volume spike.
$7,300Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 4.7 - 90% winner adds to Bu position
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 90% win rate added to a large existing position amid a major volume spike.
$2,920Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 4.7 - Extreme pre-event volume spike
A 1,060x historical volume spike and additional $4,380 buy create a notable directional signal, though the trader has only a modest record and is adding to an underwater position.
$4,380Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 3.1 - Serial trader makes outsized Noguchi bet
A highly active and profitable trader placed a large concentrated bet in a very thin market, though the modest historical edge and subsequent price decline reduce conviction.
$1,554Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 2.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0xb8e32d…aaf2$25,137 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 96% wins
- 0x317060…c6a0$6,897 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0x6485f4…a265$4,380 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$1,554 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Bu vs Noguchi?
The live Polymarket odds show the market-implied chances of Yunchaokete Bu or Rio Noguchi advancing. Check the event page for current prices, which can change as the match approaches.
What is smart money doing in the Bu vs Noguchi market?
PolySpotter recorded one smart money signal totaling $12,685 tracked across the event. The alert headline indicates that a serial sharp bettor is scaling into Yunchaokete Bu.
What outcomes are traded in this prediction market?
The event covers both possible match winners: Yunchaokete Bu advances or Rio Noguchi advances. The market rules also address cancellations, ties, and unresolved results.
When does the Bu vs Noguchi market resolve?
The match was scheduled for August 25, 2026, at 11:00 AM ET. It should resolve after the winner is determined; the event metadata lists September 1, 2026, while the market rules cite a September 8, 2026 cutoff.