Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta
8 signals across 1 market · $59,210 tracked · resolves May 2, 2026
This Madrid Open event tracks the prediction market for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has tracked $59,210 in smart money across 8 signals, including an underdog wallet cluster, a tennis pile-in, and activity from high-hit-rate sports sharps.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 4-wallet underdog cluster
A 4-wallet coordinated bet hit the underdog side in a spiking tennis market, anchored by a serial cross-market trader with a 73% win rate and $6.4M profit.
$7,264Score: 10.8 - 5-wallet tennis pile-in
Five wallets piled into Davidovich Fokina for $18.3k during a 63.7x volume spike, including one standout bettor with a 73% win rate and $6.4M lifetime profit.
$18,297Score: 7.1 - High-hit-rate sports regular
A very active sports trader with an 86% hit rate bought Davidovich Fokina despite the price already being rich, and the bet came during an unusual volume surge on this match.
$10,799Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 6.5 - 91% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 91% win rate bought the favorite into a major pre-match volume surge, making this worth following despite the market being liquid.
$7,248Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 6.5 - Sharp dog bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate bought the underdog into a major pre-match volume surge, making this a notable sharp contrarian play.
$1,480Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 6.3 - 79% win-rate sports bettor
A profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate bought Alejandro Davidovich Fokina with meaningful size, making this a credible sharp sports bet worth tracking.
$3,225Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 6.0 - 87% win-rate sports bettor
A very high-win-rate serial sports trader is buying the favorite into a major pre-match volume spike, making this a credible follow despite the market already being fairly liquid.
$7,597Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 5.6 - Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly active, profitable cross-market sports bettor with 2,670 resolved bets bought $3.3k of Davidovich Fokina in a market where their order was about 40% of 24h volume.
$3,299Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x49007e…4a72$10,799 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0xe8d783…1252$7,597 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$7,248 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0xd48a81…6e90$3,299 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0xede051…ff11$3,225 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$1,480 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for Davidovich Fokina vs Carreno Busta?
The event market prices the probability that Alejandro Davidovich Fokina or Pablo Carreno Busta advances in their Madrid Open match. On PolySpotter, you can follow the live Polymarket odds alongside smart money alerts as traders take positions.
What is the smart money doing on this match?
PolySpotter has tracked $59,210 in smart money across 8 signals for this event. Recent alerts include a 4-wallet underdog cluster, a 5-wallet tennis pile-in, a 91% win-rate sports sharp, and a sharp dog bettor.
Is this a Polymarket prediction market for the Madrid Open?
Yes. This event hub covers the Polymarket market for Davidovich Fokina vs Carreno Busta at the Madrid Open, where traders bet on which player will advance.
When does the Davidovich Fokina vs Carreno Busta market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, and the market is listed to resolve by May 2, 2026 at 09:00 UTC, depending on the official match result and resolution rules.
Who are sharp bettors backing in Davidovich Fokina vs Carreno Busta?
Recent PolySpotter alerts point to notable underdog interest and activity from high-performing sports wallets. Check the live event page for current positions, as sharp money can shift quickly before and during the match.