Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta
This Polymarket covers the 2026 Madrid Open match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Pablo Carreno Busta, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, with cancellation or a match not played leading to different handling under market rules; check the latest odds to see which side traders currently favor. PolySpotter is tracking $3,225 in smart money activity across this market.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Davidovich Fokina' if Alejandro Davidovich Fokina advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,524.
Categories: Games, Tennis, Sports
Notable Trades
79% win-rate sports bettor
A profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate bought Alejandro Davidovich Fokina with meaningful size, making this a credible sharp sports bet worth tracking.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $30k on $118k invested
- They have bet across 30 different events, which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off swing
- They bought $3.2k at 66¢, a solid-sized position for a tennis market priced near even money
$3,225 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 79%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly active, profitable cross-market sports bettor with 2,670 resolved bets bought $3.3k of Davidovich Fokina in a market where their order was about 40% of 24h volume.
- This bettor has 2,670 resolved bets, wins 66% of the time, and is up $738k lifetime
- Their $3.3k buy made up about 40% of this market's 24-hour volume, showing real conviction
- They regularly trade across many related markets, with over 1,700 markets tracked and $5.3M deployed
$3,299 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 66%
Top Holders
- 0xde9f...b8f7 — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, $29,694 (51% win rate)
- 0x198f...c419 — Pablo Carreno Busta, $11,706 (47% win rate)
- 0xd48a...6e90 — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, $5,000 (66% win rate)
- 0xede0...ff11 — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, $4,859 (79% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Pablo Carreno Busta, $4,806 (55% win rate)
- 0x9f7b...7f37 — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, $4,116 (93% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Pablo Carreno Busta, $3,033 (55% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Pablo Carreno Busta, $2,500 (88% win rate)
- 0xf02f...1ed8 — Pablo Carreno Busta, $2,135 (73% win rate)
- 0x805e...a098 — Pablo Carreno Busta, $2,110 (80% win rate)
