Part of: Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $59,210.
Categories: Games, Tennis, Sports
Notable Trades
91% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 91% win rate bought the favorite into a major pre-match volume surge, making this worth following despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved markets and is up about $2.0M across nearly 900 bets.
- They bought Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 81¢, and the price has already moved to 84¢.
- Trading hit a 48x spike versus normal activity, suggesting strong pre-match conviction on this side.
$7,248 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 92%
High-hit-rate sports regular
A very active sports trader with an 86% hit rate bought Davidovich Fokina despite the price already being rich, and the bet came during an unusual volume surge on this match.
- This bettor has won 441 of 511 resolved markets, an 86% hit rate across 386 events.
- They put $10.8k on Davidovich Fokina during a 52x volume spike in this match market.
- They paid 78¢ while the market is now 70¢, so this looks more like a tracked sharp bettor than perfect timing.
$10,799 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 85%
4-wallet underdog cluster
A 4-wallet coordinated bet hit the underdog side in a spiking tennis market, anchored by a serial cross-market trader with a 73% win rate and $6.4M profit.
- Four wallets piled into Pablo Carreno Busta for $7.3k as volume jumped 59.5x above normal.
- One of the wallets has a 73% win rate across 3,501 resolved bets and is up $6.4M lifetime.
- They bought the underdog around 22-27¢, implying they see Carreno Busta as materially mispriced.
$7,264 on Pablo Carreno Busta
Sharp dog bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate bought the underdog into a major pre-match volume surge, making this a notable sharp contrarian play.
- This bettor has won 2,539 of 3,501 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime.
- They trade heavily across related events with nearly $9.0M deployed, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought Pablo Carreno Busta at 27¢ during a 63.7x volume spike, a price that has already moved slightly in their favor to 24¢.
$1,480 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 67%
87% win-rate sports bettor
A very high-win-rate serial sports trader is buying the favorite into a major pre-match volume spike, making this a credible follow despite the market already being fairly liquid.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades across 200+ events, showing a repeatable edge in sports markets.
- They just put $7.6k on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 70¢ as volume ran 43x above normal.
- The market is active and tight at 69–70¢, so this looks like deliberate positioning rather than a random thin-market punt.
$7,597 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 87%
5-wallet tennis pile-in
Five wallets piled into Davidovich Fokina for $18.3k during a 63.7x volume spike, including one standout bettor with a 73% win rate and $6.4M lifetime profit.
- Five wallets bought the same side in minutes, putting $18.3k behind Davidovich Fokina.
- One of the buyers wins 73% of 3,501 resolved bets and is up $6.4M lifetime.
- They entered from 63¢ to 74¢ and the market has already moved to 76% after an unusually large volume surge.
$18,297 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
79% win-rate sports bettor
A profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate bought Alejandro Davidovich Fokina with meaningful size, making this a credible sharp sports bet worth tracking.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $30k on $118k invested
- They have bet across 30 different events, which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off swing
- They bought $3.2k at 66¢, a solid-sized position for a tennis market priced near even money
$3,225 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly active, profitable cross-market sports bettor with 2,670 resolved bets bought $3.3k of Davidovich Fokina in a market where their order was about 40% of 24h volume.
- This bettor has 2,670 resolved bets, wins 66% of the time, and is up $738k lifetime
- Their $3.3k buy made up about 40% of this market's 24-hour volume, showing real conviction
- They regularly trade across many related markets, with over 1,700 markets tracked and $5.3M deployed
$3,299 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 70%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 50250017, $31,261 (67% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 50250017, $5,000 (90% win rate)
- 0x4df3...788f — Outcome 50250017, $2,941 (70% win rate)
- 0xf02f...1ed8 — Outcome 50250017, $2,135 (81% win rate)
- 0x4b49...0397 — Outcome 50250017, $2,000 (73% win rate)
- 0x5cb4...4576 — Outcome 50250017, $1,880
- 0xc58a...b8f8 — Outcome 50250017, $1,584 (77% win rate)
- 0x20c1...df04 — Outcome 50250017, $1,257 (44% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 50250017, $847 (53% win rate)
- 0x5e30...acbf — Outcome 50250017, $806 (76% win rate)
