Part of: Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $59,210.

Categories: Games, Tennis, Sports

Notable Trades

91% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 91% win rate bought the favorite into a major pre-match volume surge, making this worth following despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved markets and is up about $2.0M across nearly 900 bets.
  • They bought Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 81¢, and the price has already moved to 84¢.
  • Trading hit a 48x spike versus normal activity, suggesting strong pre-match conviction on this side.

$7,248 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 92%

High-hit-rate sports regular

A very active sports trader with an 86% hit rate bought Davidovich Fokina despite the price already being rich, and the bet came during an unusual volume surge on this match.

  • This bettor has won 441 of 511 resolved markets, an 86% hit rate across 386 events.
  • They put $10.8k on Davidovich Fokina during a 52x volume spike in this match market.
  • They paid 78¢ while the market is now 70¢, so this looks more like a tracked sharp bettor than perfect timing.

$10,799 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 85%

4-wallet underdog cluster

A 4-wallet coordinated bet hit the underdog side in a spiking tennis market, anchored by a serial cross-market trader with a 73% win rate and $6.4M profit.

  • Four wallets piled into Pablo Carreno Busta for $7.3k as volume jumped 59.5x above normal.
  • One of the wallets has a 73% win rate across 3,501 resolved bets and is up $6.4M lifetime.
  • They bought the underdog around 22-27¢, implying they see Carreno Busta as materially mispriced.

$7,264 on Pablo Carreno Busta

Sharp dog bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate bought the underdog into a major pre-match volume surge, making this a notable sharp contrarian play.

  • This bettor has won 2,539 of 3,501 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime.
  • They trade heavily across related events with nearly $9.0M deployed, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought Pablo Carreno Busta at 27¢ during a 63.7x volume spike, a price that has already moved slightly in their favor to 24¢.

$1,480 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 67%

87% win-rate sports bettor

A very high-win-rate serial sports trader is buying the favorite into a major pre-match volume spike, making this a credible follow despite the market already being fairly liquid.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades across 200+ events, showing a repeatable edge in sports markets.
  • They just put $7.6k on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 70¢ as volume ran 43x above normal.
  • The market is active and tight at 69–70¢, so this looks like deliberate positioning rather than a random thin-market punt.

$7,597 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 87%

5-wallet tennis pile-in

Five wallets piled into Davidovich Fokina for $18.3k during a 63.7x volume spike, including one standout bettor with a 73% win rate and $6.4M lifetime profit.

  • Five wallets bought the same side in minutes, putting $18.3k behind Davidovich Fokina.
  • One of the buyers wins 73% of 3,501 resolved bets and is up $6.4M lifetime.
  • They entered from 63¢ to 74¢ and the market has already moved to 76% after an unusually large volume surge.

$18,297 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

79% win-rate sports bettor

A profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate bought Alejandro Davidovich Fokina with meaningful size, making this a credible sharp sports bet worth tracking.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $30k on $118k invested
  • They have bet across 30 different events, which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off swing
  • They bought $3.2k at 66¢, a solid-sized position for a tennis market priced near even money

$3,225 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly active, profitable cross-market sports bettor with 2,670 resolved bets bought $3.3k of Davidovich Fokina in a market where their order was about 40% of 24h volume.

  • This bettor has 2,670 resolved bets, wins 66% of the time, and is up $738k lifetime
  • Their $3.3k buy made up about 40% of this market's 24-hour volume, showing real conviction
  • They regularly trade across many related markets, with over 1,700 markets tracked and $5.3M deployed

$3,299 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 70%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 50250017, $31,261 (67% win rate)
  2. 0x9c76...c926 Outcome 50250017, $5,000 (90% win rate)
  3. 0x4df3...788f Outcome 50250017, $2,941 (70% win rate)
  4. 0xf02f...1ed8 Outcome 50250017, $2,135 (81% win rate)
  5. 0x4b49...0397 Outcome 50250017, $2,000 (73% win rate)
  6. 0x5cb4...4576 Outcome 50250017, $1,880
  7. 0xc58a...b8f8 Outcome 50250017, $1,584 (77% win rate)
  8. 0x20c1...df04 Outcome 50250017, $1,257 (44% win rate)
  9. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Outcome 50250017, $847 (53% win rate)
  10. 0x5e30...acbf Outcome 50250017, $806 (76% win rate)

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Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta

ResolvedMadrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta$59,210 tracked8 signalsGamesTennisSports

This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Davidovich Fokina' if Alejandro Davidovich Fokina advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta

44d ago

$7,248 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 81¢

Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta

44d ago

$10,799 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 78¢

Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta

44d ago

$7,264 on Pablo Carreno Busta at 24¢

Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta

44d ago

$1,480 on Pablo Carreno Busta at 27¢

Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta

44d ago

$7,597 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 70¢

Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta

44d ago

$18,297 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 68¢

Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta

45d ago

$3,225 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 66¢

Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta

45d ago

$3,299 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 66¢

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