Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodar
22 signals across 2 markets · $112,708 tracked · resolves May 3, 2026
This Madrid Open event tracks prediction-market odds for Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodar, including both the match winner and first-set winner markets. PolySpotter has flagged 22 smart-money signals and over $112,000 in tracked sharp activity, with recent alerts showing sharp clusters buying both Fonseca and Jodar.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster buying Fonseca
Five wallets piled into Joao Fonseca, including a 92% win-rate bettor and another serial cross-market wallet, catching a sharp repricing from 27-29¢ up to 42¢ during a major volume spike.
$11,425Score: 21.6 - Sharp 5-wallet pile-in
Five wallets piled into Joao Fonseca within minutes, including several highly profitable bettors with exceptional win rates, while market volume and price were both surging.
$6,162Score: 16.4 - 97% win-rate sports bettor
A proven sharp sports trader with a 97% win rate bought Rafael Jodar before a coordinated move that pushed the price from 50¢ to 78¢, making this a strong follow signal despite the modest ticket size.
$1,680Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 16.1 - Linked sharp cluster buys Jodar
Four wallets, including a massively profitable high-volume bettor, coordinated into Rafael Jodar as the market jumped from 45¢ to 72¢ on heavy pre-match flow, signaling strong conviction worth following.
$12,503Score: 15.7 - 98% win-rate sharp bettor
A proven sharp wallet with a 98% win rate and $5.7M profit made a nearly $10k fresh buy in a spiking tennis market at 49¢.
$9,848Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 14.7 - 92% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate just bought Joao Fonseca at 29¢ into a sharp down move, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.
$4,894Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 14.3 - Linked new wallet cluster
A repeat new wallet with early profits joined a small linked cluster all betting Rafael Jodar, and the alert is supported by one-sided flow plus a meaningful price move.
$1,430Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 12.7 - Sharp trio buying Jodar
Three wallets piled into Rafael Jodar during a sharp volume spike, led by two highly profitable serial cross-market bettors including one up $6.4M lifetime, making this coordinated underdog buy worth surfacing despite one weaker wallet in the cluster.
$11,223Score: 11.5 - Sharp bettor reloading under 50¢
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 72% win rate reopened Rafael Jodar at 47¢ after previously closing higher, suggesting fresh conviction on a liquid match with unusual volume and a sharp price move.
$2,060Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 10.6 - 92% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable serial trader with a 92% win rate put nearly $20k on Joao Fonseca at 45¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the liquid market.
$19,624Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 10.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe30e74…6b87$24,518 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 83% wins
- 0x9f7bd3…7f37$12,644 · 2 markets · 6 alerts · 96% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$11,314 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 63% wins
- 0x84cb17…28ad$9,848 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0xe0ff7a…405c$5,514 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 60% wins
- 0x8bc2f8…4c80$2,826 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
- 0x90ba2e…63f3$2,331 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xc181a8…0992$1,287 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0x8b5239…568e$1,114 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
FAQs
What are the Fonseca vs Jodar odds on Polymarket?
The event hub tracks live Polymarket pricing for Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodar, covering both the overall match winner and the Set 1 winner market. Prices move as traders react to form, lineup news, match conditions, and betting flows.
What is the smart money doing on Fonseca vs Jodar?
PolySpotter has tracked 22 smart-money signals across this event, totaling more than $112,000 in activity. Recent alerts include a sharp cluster buying Fonseca, a sharp 5-wallet pile-in, and linked sharp-cluster activity buying Jodar.
Are sharp bettors backing Fonseca or Jodar?
Recent signals show activity on both sides: sharp clusters have bought Fonseca, while a linked sharp cluster has also bought Jodar. That makes this event useful to monitor in real time as smart-money positioning changes before and during the match.
What markets are included in this Madrid Open event?
This event includes the main match market for Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodar and a separate Set 1 Winner market. The hub is designed to show the broader prediction-market picture rather than only one outcome.
When does the Fonseca vs Jodar market resolve?
The market resolves based on which player advances in the Madrid Open match. It is scheduled around the April 26, 2026 match date and has a listed resolution deadline of May 3, 2026 if delays or settlement conditions apply.