Part of: Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodar
Set 1 Winner: Fonseca vs Jodar
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,965.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
96% win-rate sports bettor
Despite a low composite score, this is worth surfacing because a bettor with a 96% win rate made a sizable buy during a sharp price spike in a thin sports market.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $42.8k on about $100.8k invested
- They put $1.7k into Fonseca during an 18.5-point move in under 4 minutes in a market with only $1.5k liquidity
- The market is still around 56¢ now, far below their 89¢ entry, so the signal is the bettor's track record more than the current price action
$1,660 on Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 97%
96% win-rate tennis bettor
A wallet with a 96% win rate made a concentrated $3.3k bet on a thin tennis first-set market and appears to have driven a sharp price move, making it worth watching despite the mixed entry prices.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $42.8k on about $100.8k invested
- They put $3.3k into a thin market with only $2.3k liquidity, helping push Fonseca up about 25 points
- Most of the position was added around 64¢, which still sits above the current 56¢ market price
$3,308 on Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 97%
96% win-rate bettor
A bettor with an exceptional 96% win rate and strong realized edge made a meaningful fresh buy in a relatively thin tennis market, making this worth watching despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 96% of their trades and is up $42.8k across 28 resolved bets
- They put $1.6k into a market with only about $7.0k of 24-hour volume, showing real conviction
- They bought Fonseca at 64¢, well above the current 45¢ market price, so this is a sharp bettor worth tracking rather than chasing higher
$1,648 on Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 97%
96% win-rate tennis bettor
A bettor with a 96% win rate and +$42.8k realized P&L just put nearly $2.9k into a thin tennis market, signaling conviction despite the market moving against their entry.
- This bettor wins 27 of 28 resolved markets and is up $42.8k lifetime
- They put $2.9k into a market with only $5.5k of 24-hour volume, so the size stands out
- Their average entry was about 55¢ on Fonseca, which is now available around 46¢
$2,900 on Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 97%
27-1 sharp in thin market
A bettor with an exceptional 27-1 record made a sizable buy into a very thin tennis set market, suggesting conviction worth tracking despite the modest dollar size.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $42.8k on about $100.8k invested
- They bought Fonseca in a very quiet market where this single $1.45k trade dwarfed recent trading
- Entry at 50¢ suggests they saw the first set as closer to a coin flip or better despite a thin book
$1,448 on Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0x9f7b...7f37 — Outcome 66063672, $9,751 (97% win rate)
- 0xb468...1b9c — Outcome 66063672, $970
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 66063672, $108
- 0xca29...a1d0 — Outcome 66063672, $83
- 0xfbb5...2b6a — Outcome 66063672, $41
- 0x2db3...667a — Outcome 66063672, $17 (82% win rate)
