Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Luka Pavlovic
5 signals across 1 market · $65,990 tracked · resolves May 31, 2026
This Roland Garros ATP event tracks the prediction market for Joao Fonseca vs Luka Pavlovic, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has tracked more than $50,000 in smart money activity, including an 11-wallet sharp tennis cluster, a sharp exit from the favorite, and underdog buying.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 11-wallet sharp tennis cluster
High-conviction one-sided tennis flow: 11 wallets bought $43k of Joao Fonseca alongside multiple profitable high-volume sports bettors and a major pre-event volume spike.
$42,969Score: 13.8 - Sharp bettor exits favorite
A very sharp tennis bettor with an 87% long-run record is exiting Joao Fonseca amid a major pre-match volume spike, though this appears to close an existing position rather than start a fresh one.
$1,702Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 9.4 - Sharp tennis bettor buying underdog
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 81% resolved win rate is buying Luka Pavlovic, alongside a major pre-event volume spike and price move.
$6,100Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 8.8 - $11.9M-profit serial trader
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 71% win rate and $11.9M lifetime profit bought Joao Fonseca before the market moved sharply higher.
$3,219Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 5.4 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor placed a $12k Fonseca buy that has already moved from 84¢ to 88¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$12,000Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xdbbbde…05a8$12,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0xde195f…3c92$6,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$3,219 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0x16dba5…8d0f$1,702 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
FAQs
What are the Fonseca vs Pavlovic odds on Polymarket?
The Polymarket odds reflect the market-implied chance that Joao Fonseca or Luka Pavlovic advances in this Roland Garros ATP match. PolySpotter tracks those prices alongside smart money activity so you can see whether sharp traders are backing the favorite or the underdog.
What is the smart money doing on Fonseca vs Pavlovic?
PolySpotter has detected 3 smart money signals totaling about $50,771 across this event. Recent alerts include an 11-wallet sharp tennis cluster, a sharp bettor exiting the favorite, and a sharp tennis bettor buying the underdog.
Is there sharp action on the underdog?
Yes. One recent PolySpotter alert flagged a sharp tennis bettor buying the underdog, suggesting at least some experienced market participants see value away from the favorite.
When does the Fonseca vs Pavlovic market resolve?
This event is scheduled around the Roland Garros ATP match originally set for May 24, 2026. The market resolves to Joao Fonseca or Luka Pavlovic once a winner advances, with a listed resolution deadline of May 31, 2026.
What happens if Fonseca vs Pavlovic is canceled or delayed?
If the match is not played, has no winner, or is delayed beyond the market rules window without a result, the market will resolve according to Polymarket’s stated cancellation and delay rules.