Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Luka Pavlovic
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Luka Pavlovic
This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Fonseca and Luka Pavlovic in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Luka Pavlovic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Joao Fonseca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $65,990.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
$11.9M-profit serial trader
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 71% win rate and $11.9M lifetime profit bought Joao Fonseca before the market moved sharply higher.
- This bettor has won 71% of 8,354 resolved bets and is up $11.9M lifetime.
- They bought Fonseca at 77¢, and the market has already moved to 88¢.
- The market saw a 27x pre-event volume spike, suggesting broader momentum behind the move.
$3,219 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor placed a $12k Fonseca buy that has already moved from 84¢ to 88¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 72% of 137 resolved trades and is up $48.7k lifetime.
- They put $12k on Fonseca at 84¢, and the market has already moved to 88¢.
- This comes during a 27x pre-event volume spike, suggesting broader sharp interest before the match.
$12,000 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 72%
11-wallet sharp tennis cluster
High-conviction one-sided tennis flow: 11 wallets bought $43k of Joao Fonseca alongside multiple profitable high-volume sports bettors and a major pre-event volume spike.
- 11 wallets bought $43k of the same side, a strong coordinated move in a pre-match tennis market.
- Two strong bettors are in the flow: one wins 87% and is up $127k, another wins 86% and is up $103k.
- Volume spiked 192x before the match, while Fonseca is still available near 69¢ despite some buyers paying as high as 90¢.
$42,969 on Joao Fonseca
Sharp bettor exits favorite
A very sharp tennis bettor with an 87% long-run record is exiting Joao Fonseca amid a major pre-match volume spike, though this appears to close an existing position rather than start a fresh one.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $127K lifetime.
- They have a deep cross-market history: 78 events traded with the same 87% win record.
- This was a sell of Joao Fonseca after previously holding him, so it looks more like cutting exposure than a fresh Luka bet.
$1,702 on Luka Pavlovic | Wallet win rate: 87%
Sharp tennis bettor buying underdog
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 81% resolved win rate is buying Luka Pavlovic, alongside a major pre-event volume spike and price move.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $56.7K lifetime.
- They bought $6.1K of Luka Pavlovic, including a 17¢ entry that has already moved to 31¢.
- Market volume spiked 192x and Luka’s price jumped 15.5 points, confirming one-sided momentum.
$6,100 on Luka Pavlovic | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0xde19...3c92 — Luka Pavlovic, $35,000 (82% win rate)
- 0xdbbb...05a8 — Joao Fonseca, $20,301 (72% win rate)
- 0x996a...e3cc — Joao Fonseca, $11,875 (100% win rate)
- 0x44a1...bd21 — Joao Fonseca, $9,796 (57% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Joao Fonseca, $8,449 (54% win rate)
- 0x6945...729c — Luka Pavlovic, $7,075
- 0xd5d4...8b32 — Luka Pavlovic, $6,766 (6% win rate)
- 0x336b...1233 — Luka Pavlovic, $6,000 (47% win rate)
- 0xd218...b5c9 — Joao Fonseca, $5,760 (47% win rate)
- 0x4e8b...05bd — Joao Fonseca, $5,744 (97% win rate)
