Madrid Open, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Martin Damm
4 signals across 1 market · $11,124 tracked · resolves Apr 28, 2026
This Madrid Open qualification event tracks the prediction market for Cristian Garin vs Martin Damm, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has tracked $11,124 in smart-money activity across 4 signals, including alerts that a sharp bettor flipped to Damm and a 99% win-rate bettor entered the market.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp bettor flips to Damm
A 3-wallet one-sided push into Martin Damm looks worth surfacing because one participant has an elite long-term track record and bought Damm at 30¢ before the market moved to 42¢ amid an extreme volume spike.
$5,889Score: 7.3 - Sharp bettor flipped sides
A highly profitable serial trader with a massive sample size flipped into Martin Damm at 30¢ after previously closing a Garin position, making this a notable contrarian re-entry worth watching.
$2,164Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 6.7 - 99% win-rate sharp bettor
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 99% win rate bought Garin at 71¢, and the market has already moved to 86¢ in their favor.
$1,294Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 6.0 - Pro sports bettor re-entering
A very high-volume, highly profitable sports bettor with a 73% win rate reopened a fresh position on Cristian Garin at 61¢ after previously closing out an older stake.
$1,777Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xfe787d…0319$3,941 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 63% wins
- 0xd48d42…5182$1,294 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
FAQs
What are the Garin vs Damm prediction market odds?
The market prices reflect the current implied odds for whether Cristian Garin or Martin Damm will advance in Madrid Open qualifying. Check the live Polymarket event for the latest prices, as tennis odds can move quickly before and during match play.
What is the smart money doing on Garin vs Damm?
PolySpotter has tracked $11,124 in smart money across 4 signals for this event. Recent alerts include a sharp bettor flipping to Damm, another side flip, a 99% win-rate sharp bettor, and a pro sports bettor re-entering.
Why did the Garin vs Damm market move?
Market movement may reflect bettor position changes, lineup or fitness expectations, pre-match information, or sharper traders taking a side. The recent alerts suggest notable smart-money attention, including multiple flips and renewed pro bettor activity.
When does the Garin vs Damm market resolve?
The market resolves after the Madrid Open qualification match determines which player advances. It is scheduled around April 21, 2026, and the event resolution deadline is April 28, 2026 at 09:00 UTC if delays occur.
How does this Polymarket event settle?
The event settles to Cristian Garin if Garin advances, and to Martin Damm if Damm advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner, settlement follows the market’s listed rules.