Madrid Open, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Martin Damm
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Madrid Open qualifying match between Cristian Garin and Martin Damm, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with resolution expected by April 28, 2026 if a winner is determined. Traders use this market to follow live prediction market odds on Garin vs Damm and see how smart money is positioning.
This market refers to the tennis match between Cristian Garin and Martin Damm in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cristian Garin' if Cristian Garin advances against Martin Damm. This market will resolve to 'Martin Damm' if Martin Damm advances against Cristian Garin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,124.
Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor flips to Damm
A 3-wallet one-sided push into Martin Damm looks worth surfacing because one participant has an elite long-term track record and bought Damm at 30¢ before the market moved to 42¢ amid an extreme volume spike.
- One wallet in this cluster wins 73% of 3,139 resolved bets and is up $5.8M lifetime.
- The sharpest trader bought Martin Damm at 30¢, and the market has already moved to 42¢.
- Match volume is running about 499x normal while 3 wallets put nearly $5.9k on the same side.
$5,889 on Martin Damm
Sharp bettor flipped sides
A highly profitable serial trader with a massive sample size flipped into Martin Damm at 30¢ after previously closing a Garin position, making this a notable contrarian re-entry worth watching.
- This bettor wins 73% of 3,139 resolved trades and is up $5.8M lifetime
- They bought Martin Damm at 30¢ after previously closing a much larger Garin position, showing a fresh directional view
- This match saw a 153x volume spike, and their entry is already better than the current 20¢ market price
$2,164 on Martin Damm | Wallet win rate: 73%
Pro sports bettor re-entering
A very high-volume, highly profitable sports bettor with a 73% win rate reopened a fresh position on Cristian Garin at 61¢ after previously closing out an older stake.
- This bettor has won 2,293 of 3,137 resolved trades and is up about $5.8M lifetime.
- They reopened a fresh Garin position at 61¢ after previously closing an older position, which points to renewed conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
- The price has already moved from 61¢ to 64¢, suggesting the entry caught a good number.
$1,777 on Cristian Garin | Wallet win rate: 73%
99% win-rate sharp bettor
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 99% win rate bought Garin at 71¢, and the market has already moved to 86¢ in their favor.
- This bettor wins 201 of 204 resolved trades and is up $163k lifetime
- They bought Cristian Garin at 71¢, and the market is now 86¢
- This wallet has placed nearly $500k across 145 events, suggesting a repeatable edge
$1,294 on Cristian Garin | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0x2005...75ea — Cristian Garin, $13,761 (54% win rate)
- 0xee61...debf — Martin Damm, $8,040 (50% win rate)
- 0xb595...5922 — Martin Damm, $7,596 (99% win rate)
- 0x996a...e3cc — Martin Damm, $5,985 (100% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Martin Damm, $5,976 (80% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Cristian Garin, $5,781
- 0xdcbf...d37f — Martin Damm, $4,681 (46% win rate)
- 0xd218...b5c9 — Cristian Garin, $4,387 (46% win rate)
- 0x5a84...e271 — Cristian Garin, $3,993 (99% win rate)
- 0xda5f...2e9b — Cristian Garin, $3,604 (49% win rate)
