Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi
21 signals across 3 markets · $80,861 tracked · resolves May 31, 2026
This Roland Garros ATP event tracks the prediction market for Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has tracked $1,053 in smart money activity so far, including a high-volume sports grinder signal on the match.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster backing underdog
Surface because a six-wallet Griekspoor cluster includes a bettor with an 80% record and strong profits, though the market also has meaningful flow on Arnaldi.
$20,647Score: 13.1 - Sharp one-sided tennis flow
Four wallets bought Matteo Arnaldi in one direction, including highly profitable bettors, alongside a major pre-event volume spike and sharp price move.
$13,434Score: 12.6 - 92% winner in 12-wallet flow
Sharp 92% lifetime winner bought Matteo Arnaldi, backed by a 12-wallet same-direction flow and serial cross-market track record.
$1,600Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 12.0 - 80% winner with 12-wallet flow
Sharp high-volume tennis bettor with an 80% long-run win record is buying Arnaldi alongside 12-wallet same-direction flow.
$1,248Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 12.0 - 96% win-rate sports sharp
Elite sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and $446k profit bought $8k of Over 3.5 sets in this tennis match.
$8,000Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 10.7 - Perfect 26-0 sharp bettor
Proven sharp sports bettor with a perfect 26-0 resolved record is buying Matteo Arnaldi at 55¢.
$1,238Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 10.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Matteo Arnaldi, making the wallet track record the main reason to surface despite modest size and price moving against entry.
$1,426Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 10.0 - 96% sports sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 96% track record and extensive cross-market history bought $9,000 of Over 3.5 sets in a moderately liquid tennis market.
$9,000Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 8.3 - Profitable serial bettor momentum
A highly profitable serial tennis bettor bought Matteo Arnaldi at 50¢ ahead of a sharp volume spike and rapid price move to the mid-60s.
$1,151Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 8.2 - 91% win-rate sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 91% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Matteo Arnaldi at 57¢.
$1,056Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 8.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x03f8db…d85a$17,000 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 96% wins
- 0x84cb17…28ad$7,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$6,003 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 63% wins
- 0x6b97eb…8d30$2,816 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0x4d2344…fcdf$2,196 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 74% wins
- 0x1eaf5d…9bf0$2,056 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 63% wins
- 0x526852…135d$1,904 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
- 0x18de09…7c92$1,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0xe3fd50…e92d$1,361 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xc5df88…be66$1,303 · 1 market · 1 alert · 51% wins
FAQs
What are the Griekspoor vs Arnaldi prediction market odds?
The market prices the chance that Tallon Griekspoor or Matteo Arnaldi advances at Roland Garros. Check the event page for the latest Polymarket odds and any shifts in trader positioning.
What is the smart money doing on Griekspoor vs Arnaldi?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,053 in smart money across this event, with one recent signal flagged from a high-volume sports grinder. That suggests at least one active sports-focused trader has taken a notable position.
How does this Roland Garros ATP market resolve?
The event resolves to Tallon Griekspoor if he advances against Matteo Arnaldi, and to Matteo Arnaldi if Arnaldi advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the stated rules without a winner, the market follows Polymarket’s resolution criteria.
When is Griekspoor vs Arnaldi scheduled to resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, and the event lists a resolution deadline of May 31, 2026 at 09:00 UTC.