Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi
16 smart money signals detected, totaling $54,666.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp tennis bettor buying favorite
Sharp sports wallet with an 88% win rate and strong positive P&L bought Matteo Arnaldi despite the market already moving sharply upward.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $6,917 lifetime.
- They bought Matteo Arnaldi at 86¢ after a fast 18.5-point price move, suggesting confidence in the favorite.
- The market is now around 82¢, slightly better than the bettor’s entry price.
$1,303 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 51%
Profitable serial bettor momentum
A highly profitable serial tennis bettor bought Matteo Arnaldi at 50¢ ahead of a sharp volume spike and rapid price move to the mid-60s.
- This bettor has made over 8,800 resolved trades and is up $12.7M lifetime.
- They bought Matteo Arnaldi at 50¢ before the price jumped to about 66¢.
- Market volume spiked nearly 95x normal, suggesting broader momentum behind the same side.
$1,151 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 63%
Massive-profit serial trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Matteo Arnaldi at 53¢ before the price moved sharply to 66¢.
- This bettor has won 71% of 8,885 resolved trades and is up $12.7M lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 1,984 events with $17.1M in tracked cross-market volume.
- Their Arnaldi entry at 53¢ has already moved to 66¢, so the best copy range has likely passed.
$1,746 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 63%
$12.7M profitable serial bettor
A massively profitable serial cross-market bettor with 8,885 resolved bets bought Matteo Arnaldi at 66¢ before the market moved to 76¢.
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up $12.7M lifetime across nearly 8,900 bets.
- They bought Matteo Arnaldi at 66¢, and the market has already moved to 76¢ in their direction.
- This wallet is a serial cross-market trader with activity across 1,982 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
$1,680 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 63%
New profitable underdog bettor
A 1-day-old wallet with early profits is making a repeat underdog bet against Arnaldi, but the track record is still very small.
- This brand-new wallet is already up $809 on 2 resolved bets.
- It is making a repeat flagged bet and taking the underdog side at about 29¢.
- The market is liquid, so this looks more like a directional tennis view than a thin-market move.
$1,361 on Tallon Griekspoor | Wallet win rate: 100%
Four-wallet one-sided flow
Four wallets bought the same tennis side ahead of the match, and the position has already moved sharply from 37¢ to 64¢ amid a volume spike.
- Four wallets all bought the same side, totaling about $5.7K in one-sided flow.
- This trade entered at 37¢ and the market has already jumped to 64¢, a major move in their favor.
- The bettor is up about $475K lifetime on Polymarket, though across a very large betting history.
$1,904 on Tallon Griekspoor | Wallet win rate: 53%
Sharp cluster backing underdog
Surface because a six-wallet Griekspoor cluster includes a bettor with an 80% record and strong profits, though the market also has meaningful flow on Arnaldi.
- One bettor in this cluster wins 80% of resolved bets and is up about $214K lifetime.
- Six wallets bought $20.6K of Griekspoor, mostly between 36¢ and 44¢, and the price has moved to 46¢.
- Several wallets in the cluster are profitable long term, including accounts up $475K and $425K.
$20,647 on Tallon Griekspoor
80% winner with 12-wallet flow
Sharp high-volume tennis bettor with an 80% long-run win record is buying Arnaldi alongside 12-wallet same-direction flow.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $3.7M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 254 events with over $4.1M tracked volume.
- 12 wallets bought the same Arnaldi side for $24.6K, suggesting broader one-way conviction.
$1,248 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 81%
92% winner in 12-wallet flow
Sharp 92% lifetime winner bought Matteo Arnaldi, backed by a 12-wallet same-direction flow and serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $29.9k lifetime.
- 12 wallets bought Matteo Arnaldi the same way, totaling about $24.6k.
- This wallet has traded across 39 events with a 92% win rate, making the buy worth following despite the price dipping since entry.
$1,600 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Matteo Arnaldi, making the wallet track record the main reason to surface despite modest size and price moving against entry.
- This bettor is up $12.7M lifetime across more than $84M invested.
- They have won 71% of 8,874 resolved bets across thousands of events.
- They bought Arnaldi at 67¢; the market is now around 60¢, offering a cheaper entry than the trade.
$1,426 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 63%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 32072059, $8,998 (63% win rate)
- 0x6b97...8d30 — Outcome 32072059, $6,400 (82% win rate)
- 0x6982...a165 — Outcome 32072059, $4,897 (99% win rate)
- 0x05e3...4b87 — Outcome 32072059, $4,445 (98% win rate)
- 0x70d8...a237 — Outcome 32072059, $4,000 (49% win rate)
- 0xbbf3...aa3a — Outcome 32072059, $3,421 (80% win rate)
- 0x4379...2e16 — Outcome 32072059, $3,000 (64% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 32072059, $2,412 (74% win rate)
- 0x661d...4dc6 — Outcome 32072059, $1,667 (68% win rate)
- 0x99d7...6435 — Outcome 32072059, $1,662 (89% win rate)
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