National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima
12 signals across 3 markets · $273,655 tracked · resolves Aug 19, 2026
Follow the National Bank Open prediction market for Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima, with outcomes covering which player advances. PolySpotter is tracking $10,000 in smart money and a recent signal showing 97% winner scaling into Jodar.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 19-wallet funded Nakashima cluster
A 19-wallet, four-funder cluster committed $133,451 to Nakashima amid a 143x volume spike and 45-point price surge, with several participating wallets showing strong historical edge.
$133,451Score: 11.7 - Sharp bettors scaling into Jodar
Three experienced, highly profitable bettors are adding $13,320 to Rafael Jodar amid a 116x volume spike, including a 97% winner and a 79% winner with meaningful edge over entry odds.
$13,020Score: 7.0 - Three-wallet fade of favorite
Three wallets coordinated a $7.1K sell-off of Nakashima, including a highly profitable serial trader, though some selling appears to be position management.
$7,124Score: 6.3 - 97% winner scaling into Jodar
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 97% win rate is adding $10,000 to an already-held Jodar position in an extremely quiet market.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 5.4 - 94% winner adds to Nakashima
A highly experienced serial cross-market bettor with a 94% win rate is adding $5,000 to an existing Brandon Nakashima position amid a major volume spike.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 5.2 - Sharp bettor scaling into Nakashima
A highly profitable serial trader with an 85% win rate is adding $6,800 to an existing Brandon Nakashima position at 34¢ in a relatively quiet market.
$3,200Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 5.2 - Sharp bettor scaling into Nakashima
A highly profitable serial trader with an 85% win rate is adding $6,800 to an existing Brandon Nakashima position at 34¢ in a relatively quiet market.
$6,800Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 5.1 - 87% winner adds to Jodar
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 87% win rate is adding $3,401 to an existing Rafael Jodar position at 67 cents.
$3,401Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 4.7 - 91% win-rate serial bettor
A highly profitable serial trader with a 91% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a meaningful $3,023 bet on Nakashima in a relatively low-volume market.
$3,023Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 4.7 - Serial sharp scaling into Jodar
A proven high-volume bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an existing Rafael Jodar position at 67%.
$1,980Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 4.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0xdbbbde…05a8$85,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0x0353aa…c2ff$10,000 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 82% wins
- 0xf3b04d…23a1$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x1e386b…fd47$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0x02d849…0c91$3,401 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0xf55927…f462$3,023 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0xd4c3d2…60d9$1,980 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0xb94ca0…ae33$1,655 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
FAQs
What are the Jodar vs Nakashima prediction-market odds?
The Polymarket event tracks two outcomes: Rafael Jodar advances or Brandon Nakashima advances. Check the live event page for current prices and implied probabilities, which can change as traders update their positions.
What is smart money doing in the Jodar vs Nakashima market?
PolySpotter has tracked $10,000 in smart money across this event and one signal. The latest alert reports that 97% of the winner-position scaling was directed toward Rafael Jodar.
When is the National Bank Open match scheduled?
Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima is scheduled for August 12, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET.
When does the Jodar vs Nakashima prediction market resolve?
The market resolves based on which player advances under the exchange rules. It is scheduled to resolve by August 19, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET, subject to the stated cancellation, tie, and delay provisions.