US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien
13 signals across 2 markets · $221,677 tracked · resolves Sep 14, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the US Open ATP match between Karen Khachanov and Learner Tien. The event tracks both possible winners, with $2,250 in smart money and a recent signal from a 96%-win-rate bettor adding to Khachanov.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Six-wallet Tien conviction cluster
Six wallets deployed $71,030 on Learner Tien, including highly profitable sharp bettors, while a 57x volume spike confirms unusually strong coordinated conviction.
$37,682Score: 8.5 - New whale joins six-wallet Khachanov flow
A very new wallet repeatedly added roughly $53,000 to Karen Khachanov while five other wallets bought the same outcome amid an extreme volume surge.
$52,986Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 8.0 - 94% winner scaling into Learner Tien
A highly profitable 94% win-rate serial trader added $27,321 to Learner Tien amid an extreme volume spike, making this a strong directional signal.
$27,321Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 7.3 - 96% winner adds to Khachanov
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate is adding to a sizable Khachanov position alongside coordinated buying and a major volume spike.
$25,721Score: 7.3 - New whale joins six-wallet Khachanov flow
A very new wallet repeatedly added roughly $53,000 to Karen Khachanov while five other wallets bought the same outcome amid an extreme volume surge.
$38,993Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 7.2 - Elite bettor scaling into Tien
A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge is adding $3,800 to an already large Tien position in a thin market.
$3,800Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 6.0 - 94% win-rate serial bettor
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and $905K profit is taking a fresh position on Khachanov at 37%.
$2,148Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.6 - Sharp bettor doubles down on Tien
A proven 86% bettor with a 25-point edge over average odds added $13,000 to an existing Learner Tien position despite the market moving sharply against it.
$13,000Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 5.4 - 96% win-rate bettor adds to Khachanov
An exceptionally successful serial bettor with a 96% win rate is adding to a substantial Karen Khachanov position at 39¢.
$2,250Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.4 - Sharp bettor doubles down on Tien
A proven 86% bettor with a 25-point edge over average odds added $13,000 to an existing Learner Tien position despite the market moving sharply against it.
$8,539Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 4.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0x31e5d5…4879$91,979 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 74% wins
- 0x979fc1…4032$27,321 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x86eb13…6566$21,539 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 71% wins
- 0x27f738…44b0$4,910 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0xf12f76…b30f$3,800 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x0353aa…c2ff$2,290 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0x0cdff1…ec9e$2,250 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x162ca4…6c47$2,148 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xb3cfe7…0ebd$2,037 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
FAQs
What are the Khachanov vs Tien prediction-market odds?
The live Polymarket odds show the market-implied chances of Karen Khachanov or Learner Tien advancing. Check the event page for current prices, which can change as trading continues.
What is smart money betting on in Khachanov vs Tien?
PolySpotter tracks $2,250 in smart money across this event and one signal so far. The latest alert reports that a bettor with a 96% win rate added to Khachanov.
Who is favored in the Khachanov vs Tien Polymarket market?
The market's current prices indicate which player traders favor. Recent smart-money activity points toward Karen Khachanov, but the live odds remain the best measure of the market consensus.
When is the Khachanov vs Tien match scheduled?
The US Open ATP match is scheduled for September 7, 2026, at 11:00 AM ET. The market is expected to resolve after the match determines which player advances, subject to its stated resolution rules.
How does the Khachanov vs Tien market resolve?
The market resolves to Karen Khachanov if he advances and to Learner Tien if he advances. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or no winner is determined by the stated deadline, the exchange's published resolution rules apply.