What does Tien -1.5 mean in this prediction market?

Tien -1.5 means Learner Tien must win by two or more sets for the market to resolve to Tien. If he wins by only one set or loses, the market resolves to Khachanov.

When is the Tien vs Khachanov match scheduled?

The Learner Tien vs Karen Khachanov US Open ATP match is scheduled for September 7, 2026, at 11:00 AM ET.

How does this market resolve if the match is not completed?

If the match starts but is not completed because of a retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves 50-50 unless its outcome has already been determined.

What smart-money activity is tracked for this market?

PolySpotter tracks $2,037 in smart-money activity and one smart-money signal. Recent alerts include an elite bettor scaling into Tien and a profitable serial trader backing Khachanov.

Part of: US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien

Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Khachanov (+1.5)

This Polymarket tennis market covers the US Open ATP match between Learner Tien and Karen Khachanov, scheduled for September 7, 2026. Tien wins the market by taking the match by at least two sets; Khachanov wins if Tien does not clear the -1.5 set handicap. The market currently tracks $2,037 in smart-money activity across one signal and resolves by September 14, 2026.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,837.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader backs Khachanov

A highly experienced serial trader with 2,827 resolved bets and $1.02M profit made a concentrated Khachanov bet that represented 76% of recent market volume.

This bettor has won 81% of 2,827 resolved bets and is up more than $1.0M lifetime.
The $2,037 position represented 76% of recent 24-hour volume in a relatively thin market.
Khachanov was bought at 62¢ after the market recently moved 4.5% toward Khachanov.

$2,037 on Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 81%

Elite bettor scaling into Tien

A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge is adding $3,800 to an already large Tien position in a thin market.

This bettor has won 95% of 435 resolved positions and is up $384,351 while entering at roughly 45% odds.
The $3,800 purchase exceeds the market's entire recent 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in Tien.
This adds to an existing $8,136 Tien position rather than taking a routine profit or exploratory stake.

$3,800 on Tien | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

0xf12f...b30f — Outcome 81621519, $8,136 (95% win rate)
0xe146...83ee — Outcome 81621519, $967 (88% win rate)
0xf83b...44a2 — Outcome 81621519, $700 (87% win rate)
0x4738...9cfb — Outcome 81621519, $218 (81% win rate)
0x1ba7...67a1 — Outcome 81621519, $204
0xce6e...1256 — Outcome 81621519, $156
0x2fab...82a5 — Outcome 81621519, $110
0x944e...96a8 — Outcome 81621519, $106
0x1a1e...f992 — Outcome 81621519, $61
0x0458...5faf — Outcome 81621519, $61

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Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Khachanov (+1.5)

2dUS Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien$5,837 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Karen Khachanov in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Tien" if Learner Tien wins by 2 or more sets than Karen Khachanov, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Khachanov." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Learner Tien can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Khachanov." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.