Valencia: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
6 signals across 1 market · $27,836 tracked · resolves May 20, 2026
This event tracks the Valencia tennis match between Aleksandar Kovacevic and Daniel Merida Aguilar, with prediction market odds reflecting which player is expected to advance. PolySpotter has tracked $7,213 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including action from a profitable serial sports trader and a sharp new tennis bettor.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster on underdog
Three wallets, including a highly profitable 73% winner, bought $11.5k of Daniel Merida Aguilar at 35¢ during a major pre-event volume spike, though the price has since collapsed to 6¢.
$11,540Score: 14.8 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports bettor with a 67% resolved record bought Kovacevic at 61¢ before the market moved to 66¢.
$2,883Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 8.3 - Serial momentum bettor
High composite momentum alert: a serial cross-market bettor bought Kovacevic before a major volume spike and 27-point price move, though the wallet is not profitable lifetime.
$1,200Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 7.9 - Sharp serial sports bettor
Serial cross-market sports bettor with a strong 150-bet record bought Daniel Merida Aguilar before the market moved sharply in their favor.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 4.4 - Sharp new tennis bettor
Sharp young wallet with an 83% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Daniel Merida Aguilar at 68%, and the market has already moved to 72%.
$5,950Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 2.7 - Profitable serial sports trader
A massively active and profitable serial cross-market trader bought Daniel Merida Aguilar before a favorable 5-point move in an active tennis market.
$1,263Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 1.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf1bf65…492e$5,950 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0x0ebbb3…cb1a$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0xbfe640…fcc9$2,883 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
- 0x2005d1…75ea$1,263 · 1 market · 1 alert · 55% wins
- 0xcb1664…96b5$1,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
FAQs
What are the Kovacevic vs Merida Aguilar odds on Polymarket?
The Polymarket odds for Kovacevic vs Merida Aguilar show the market-implied chances of each player advancing in the Valencia match. Odds can move as traders react to form, lineup news, match conditions, and smart money activity.
Who is smart money betting on in Kovacevic vs Merida Aguilar?
PolySpotter has detected $7,213 in smart money tracked across this event, with 2 recent signals. The alerts include activity from a profitable serial sports trader and a sharp new tennis bettor, which may indicate informed positioning on the match outcome.
Is there a prediction market for Kovacevic vs Merida Aguilar?
Yes. This event covers the Polymarket prediction market for Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar in Valencia, where traders price the likelihood of either player advancing.
When does the Kovacevic vs Merida Aguilar market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve based on the result of the Valencia match, originally set for May 13, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. The listed resolution deadline is May 20, 2026, allowing for potential delays under the market rules.
What happens if Kovacevic vs Merida Aguilar is canceled or delayed?
If the match is not played, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond the allowed window, the market may resolve according to Polymarket’s event rules rather than to either player advancing.