Part of: Valencia: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
Valencia: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
This prediction market covers the Valencia tennis match between Aleksandar Kovacevic and Daniel Merida Aguilar, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 20, 2026, and PolySpotter is tracking $7,883 in smart money across 2 signals.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Kovacevic and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Valencia, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Kovacevic' if Aleksandar Kovacevic advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Aleksandar Kovacevic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,836.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster on underdog
Three wallets, including a highly profitable 73% winner, bought $11.5k of Daniel Merida Aguilar at 35¢ during a major pre-event volume spike, though the price has since collapsed to 6¢.
- A bettor up $8.2M lifetime joined this underdog buy, with a 73% record across more than 5,000 resolved markets.
- Three wallets bought the same side within a minute, putting $11.5k on Daniel Merida Aguilar at 35¢.
- The market saw a 138x volume spike before the event, but the entry is far above the current 6¢ price.
$11,540 on Daniel Merida Aguilar
Serial momentum bettor
High composite momentum alert: a serial cross-market bettor bought Kovacevic before a major volume spike and 27-point price move, though the wallet is not profitable lifetime.
- This market saw a 138x volume spike and Kovacevic moved up 27 points.
- The bettor has traded across 40 events with a 63% win rate, showing repeated cross-market activity.
- They entered at 88¢ and the market has already moved to 94¢, leaving limited but clear momentum upside.
$1,200 on Aleksandar Kovacevic | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports bettor with a 67% resolved record bought Kovacevic at 61¢ before the market moved to 66¢.
- This bettor has won 67% of 55 resolved bets and is up $44K lifetime.
- They have traded across 41 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought Kovacevic at 61¢, and the market has already moved to 66¢.
$2,883 on Aleksandar Kovacevic | Wallet win rate: 68%
Sharp serial sports bettor
Serial cross-market sports bettor with a strong 150-bet record bought Daniel Merida Aguilar before the market moved sharply in their favor.
- This bettor has won 69% of 150 resolved bets and is up $329k lifetime.
- They have traded across 223 events with $1.6M in total volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- They bought at 45¢ and the market is now 56¢ after a fast move, so the trade already has momentum.
$5,000 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 69%
Profitable serial sports trader
A massively active and profitable serial cross-market trader bought Daniel Merida Aguilar before a favorable 5-point move in an active tennis market.
- This bettor has made over 27,000 resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
- They bought Daniel Merida Aguilar at 51¢, and the market has already moved to 56¢.
- This is a serial cross-market trader with nearly $10M flagged across 1,700 markets.
$1,263 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 55%
Sharp new tennis bettor
Sharp young wallet with an 83% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Daniel Merida Aguilar at 68%, and the market has already moved to 72%.
- This bettor has won 83% of resolved bets and is up $32.5K lifetime.
- They put $5.95K on Daniel Merida Aguilar at 68%, and the price has already moved to 72%.
- The wallet has been flagged 15 times before, suggesting repeated high-conviction betting rather than a one-off trade.
$5,950 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0xfc25...1f7f — Aleksandar Kovacevic, $55,623 (95% win rate)
- 0x64c5...d255 — Aleksandar Kovacevic, $26,153
- 0x204f...5e14 — Daniel Merida Aguilar, $22,886 (55% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Daniel Merida Aguilar, $13,297 (73% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Daniel Merida Aguilar, $13,156 (50% win rate)
- 0xad10...c665 — Aleksandar Kovacevic, $11,819
- 0x0ebb...cb1a — Daniel Merida Aguilar, $11,034 (69% win rate)
- 0x1f78...bbe8 — Aleksandar Kovacevic, $10,180 (94% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Daniel Merida Aguilar, $9,266 (55% win rate)
- 0xf1bf...492e — Daniel Merida Aguilar, $8,750 (86% win rate)
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