Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta
6 signals across 1 market · $415,888 tracked · resolves Aug 20, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the Cincinnati Open match between Tomas Machac and Pablo Carreno Busta. The event tracks both player outcomes, with $3,180 in smart money and one recent signal from a tennis bettor with a 99% win rate.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 87% winner scales into Pablo
A highly profitable 87% winner added roughly $315,000 to Pablo Carreno Busta alongside coordinated buying and a major volume surge.
$95,261Score: 9.7 - Sharp bettor scales into Pablo
A proven high-volume bettor with an 87% win rate added roughly $200,000 to an already large Pablo Carreno Busta position at 53–54¢ amid an extreme volume spike.
$103,139Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 7.9 - Sharp bettor leads Machac cluster
Three wallets bought Tomas Machac for $12.6K, including a highly profitable 91% winner, amid an extreme volume spike despite the market moving sharply against the position.
$12,566Score: 7.1 - Sharp bettor scales into Pablo
A proven high-volume bettor with an 87% win rate added roughly $200,000 to an already large Pablo Carreno Busta position at 53–54¢ amid an extreme volume spike.
$200,639Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 5.9 - Sharp serial bettor backs Carreno Busta
A highly profitable serial trader with a 78% win rate bought Pablo Carreno Busta at 54% amid an extreme pre-event volume surge, and the price has since risen to 64%.
$1,103Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 5.8 - 99% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $3,180 bet on Pablo Carreno Busta.
$3,180Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe30e74…6b87$303,778 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 88% wins
- 0xc3c3b3…eec8$3,180 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x04e684…3914$1,103 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
FAQs
What are the Machac vs Carreno Busta odds on Polymarket?
Polymarket odds for Tomas Machac and Pablo Carreno Busta are shown as live market prices on this event page and may change as traders react to new information.
What is the prediction market for this Cincinnati Open match?
The market covers which player advances: Tomas Machac or Pablo Carreno Busta. Each outcome is traded separately within the event.
What is smart money betting on in this match?
PolySpotter is tracking $3,180 in smart money across the event and one signal from a tennis bettor with a reported 99% win rate. Check the latest market prices to see which outcome is being favored.
When does the Machac vs Carreno Busta market resolve?
The match is scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, and the market is set to resolve by August 20, 2026, subject to its stated settlement rules.