Part of: Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta

This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $415,888.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor scales into Pablo

A proven high-volume bettor with an 87% win rate added roughly $200,000 to an already large Pablo Carreno Busta position at 53–54¢ amid an extreme volume spike.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $1.82 million lifetime.
They added about $200,000 at 53–54¢ to an existing $547,687 Pablo Carreno Busta position.
The trade represented over 100% of reported 24-hour volume and coincided with a major market-volume spike.

$103,139 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 89%

87% winner scales into Pablo

A highly profitable 87% winner added roughly $315,000 to Pablo Carreno Busta alongside coordinated buying and a major volume surge.

This bettor has won 87% of 61 trades, is up $1.82M, and committed about $315,000 to Pablo Carreno Busta.
Four wallets bought Pablo for $317,468 as market volume surged over 2,800 times its historical average.
The main bettor was adding to an existing $600,244 Pablo position, with entries mostly around 53–55¢ before the outcome rose to 76¢.

$95,261 on Pablo Carreno Busta

Sharp bettor leads Machac cluster

Three wallets bought Tomas Machac for $12.6K, including a highly profitable 91% winner, amid an extreme volume spike despite the market moving sharply against the position.

A bettor who wins 91% of 4,402 trades and is up $2.9M bought Machac alongside two other wallets.
Three wallets committed $12,566, while market volume surged to more than 400 times its historical average.
The group bought at 46–47¢ even though Machac has since fallen to 36¢, making this a high-conviction but currently underwater position.

$12,566 on Tomas Machac

Sharp bettor scales into Pablo

A proven high-volume bettor with an 87% win rate added roughly $200,000 to an already large Pablo Carreno Busta position at 53–54¢ amid an extreme volume spike.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $1.82 million lifetime.
They added about $200,000 at 53–54¢ to an existing $547,687 Pablo Carreno Busta position.
The trade represented over 100% of reported 24-hour volume and coincided with a major market-volume spike.

$200,639 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 89%

Sharp serial bettor backs Carreno Busta

A highly profitable serial trader with a 78% win rate bought Pablo Carreno Busta at 54% amid an extreme pre-event volume surge, and the price has since risen to 64%.

This bettor wins 78% of 480 resolved trades and is up $392,412 lifetime.
They bought Pablo Carreno Busta at 54%, with the market now pricing him at 64%.
Market volume spiked more than 41,000x its historical average, supporting the directional move.

$1,103 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 77%

99% win-rate tennis bettor

A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $3,180 bet on Pablo Carreno Busta.

This bettor has won 1,819 of 1,836 resolved positions, with $17.1 million in lifetime profit.
The wallet is betting $3,180 on Pablo Carreno Busta at 53%, despite the market being close to evenly priced.
Its 56% average winning entry price versus a 99% win rate indicates a remarkably strong long-term edge across 944 events.

$3,180 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 99%