Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul
8 signals across 3 markets · $194,360 tracked · resolves Oct 23, 2026
This Shanghai Rolex Masters prediction market tracks whether Daniil Medvedev or Tommy Paul advances from their match. PolySpotter has recorded one smart-money signal, with a proven 82% winner backing Medvedev; the tracked amount is $1,700.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Four-wallet Medvedev conviction cluster
Four wallets bought $157,477 on Medvedev, including a heavily profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and a substantial existing position.
$172,141Score: 9.0 - Proven high-win-rate bettor backs Medvedev
A highly profitable bettor with 3,746 resolved positions is buying Medvedev at 55¢, a meaningful bet relative to the market’s quiet recent volume.
$1,925Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 6.0 - 96% winner adding to Medvedev
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor added $6,800 to Medvedev at 68¢ amid a major volume spike and a 14-point price rise.
$6,800Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 5.7 - Elite 97% bettor backing Medvedev
A highly profitable bettor with a 97% win rate made a $1,600 Medvedev bet amid a 61.7x volume spike and rising odds.
$1,600Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 5.6 - Proven 82% winner backs Medvedev
A consistently profitable bettor with an 82% win rate and extensive cross-market activity put $1,700 on Medvedev.
$1,700Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.7 - Proven 92% winner backs Medvedev
A highly profitable bettor with 92% wins over 147 resolved positions bought Medvedev at 54¢ in a thin market, though the price has since risen to 86¢.
$1,068Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 3.9 - Profitable serial trader adds to Paul
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader added $6.3K to an existing Tommy Paul position amid a 59.8x volume spike.
$6,327Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 3.6 - Profitable serial trader adds to Medvedev
A historically profitable high-volume trader added to an existing Medvedev position during a 52.5x volume spike, though the market has little price movement and the trader’s win rate is only modestly above typical entry odds.
$2,800Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xdd9d90…b730$6,800 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0xe7870d…5034$6,327 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
- 0xda5fff…2e9b$2,800 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0xe8c4d6…395d$1,925 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xd4c3d2…60d9$1,700 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x51eb09…6bfa$1,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x257505…bf1e$1,068 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
FAQs
What are the Medvedev vs Tommy Paul prediction-market odds?
The market tracks the chance that Medvedev or Paul advances. Check the live market for current odds, which can change as traders place bets.
Who is smart money backing in Medvedev vs Tommy Paul?
PolySpotter recorded one signal: a trader described as a proven 82% winner backed Daniil Medvedev. The event has $1,700 in tracked smart money.
What does this Shanghai Masters market resolve on?
It resolves to Medvedev if he advances against Tommy Paul, or to Paul if he advances against Medvedev.
When does the Medvedev vs Tommy Paul market resolve?
The match was scheduled for October 15, 2026, at 10:00 p.m. ET. The market is listed to resolve by October 23, 2026, at 2:00 a.m. UTC; check its rules for cancellation or other contingencies.