Part of: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul
Game Spread: Daniil Medvedev (-2.5) vs Tommy Paul (+2.5)
This market will resolve to "Daniil Medvedev" if Daniil Medvedev wins 2.5 or more total games than Tommy Paul in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Tommy Paul". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Daniil Medvedev could no longer have finished 2.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Tommy Paul". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,925.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Proven high-win-rate bettor backs Medvedev
A highly profitable bettor with 3,746 resolved positions is buying Medvedev at 55¢, a meaningful bet relative to the market’s quiet recent volume.
- This bettor has won 95% of 3,746 resolved positions and is up about $1.9M.
- They put $1,925 on Medvedev at 55¢—more than ten times the market’s 24-hour volume.
- The wallet has traded across 741 events, suggesting extensive cross-market experience.
$1,925 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xe8c4...395d — Daniil Medvedev, $3,500 (95% win rate)
- 0xd220...fc0b — Daniil Medvedev, $1,000 (53% win rate)
- 0x502e...5442 — Daniil Medvedev, $893 (73% win rate)
- 0xb428...74c8 — Daniil Medvedev, $554
- 0x86f7...5a5d — Daniil Medvedev, $370
- 0xc9ce...1533 — Daniil Medvedev, $320
- 0xd8fe...e04c — Daniil Medvedev, $259
- 0x1420...9daa — Daniil Medvedev, $250 (78% win rate)
- 0x524b...73a2 — Daniil Medvedev, $145
- 0xfc24...d399 — Daniil Medvedev, $132 (90% win rate)
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