US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien
11 signals across 2 markets · $126,125 tracked · resolves Sep 12, 2026
The Polymarket event for the US Open ATP match between Jakub Mensik and Learner Tien tracks which player will advance. PolySpotter’s latest alert reports that a 96% winner scaled into Mensik, with $2,250 in smart money tracked across the event.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp bettor joins 21-wallet Mensik cluster
A highly profitable serial trader exited Learner Tien while 21 linked wallets bought Jakub Mensik, creating a strong coordinated directional signal despite the individual trade being a position close.
$3,640Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 11.4 - 21-wallet cluster backs Mensik
A proven profitable serial trader sold Learner Tien at 51¢ while 21 linked wallets committed $86,000 to Jakub Mensik, creating a strong coordinated directional signal.
$2,796Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 11.1 - 23-wallet Tien conviction cluster
A large 23-wallet Learner Tien cluster, major volume spike, and participation from a highly profitable bettor indicate unusually strong directional conviction, despite conflicting opposite-side flow.
$73,334Score: 10.8 - 96% winner adds to Tien position
A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 96% win rate is adding to a Learner Tien position amid a six-wallet buying cluster and a major volume spike.
$2,200Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 8.0 - Four-wallet Mensik buying surge
A large, unusually coordinated Mensik position coincided with a 52x volume spike and a 14-point price rise, although mixed wallet records and opposing Tien activity reduce conviction.
$13,863Score: 7.6 - New wallet scaling into coordinated Mensik buy
A very new wallet repeatedly scaled into Mensik alongside four other buyers during a 96.9x volume surge, creating a strong coordinated directional signal despite limited proven history.
$15,575Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 7.2 - 90% win-rate tennis bettor buys Over
A highly proven bettor with a 90% win rate and $3.4M profit made a fresh, unusually large bet on Over at 53 cents.
$2,318Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 5.6 - 96% winner scales into Mensik
A highly successful serial bettor with a 96% win rate is adding $2,250 to an existing Jakub Mensik position at 45¢.
$2,250Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.4 - 94% winner backs Mensik
A highly proven serial trader with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $3,149 bet on Jakub Mensik at 45¢.
$3,149Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.4 - 83% win-rate serial bettor adds
A highly experienced serial trader with an 83% win rate is adding $5,000 to an existing Learner Tien position, though the market is relatively liquid and the bet is not deeply mispriced.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0xd9bfee…6c60$15,575 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x479e33…91c3$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0xf83b52…44a2$3,640 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0x79ae09…9a4a$3,149 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x1f7105…b2e4$2,796 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
- 0xd6966e…8a49$2,318 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0x0cdff1…ec9e$2,250 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xf12f76…b30f$2,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xe8c4d6…395d$2,001 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
FAQs
What are the Mensik vs Tien US Open prediction-market odds?
This event tracks the market-implied chances of Jakub Mensik or Learner Tien advancing. Check the live Polymarket prices for the latest odds, since they can change as traders place bets.
What is smart money doing in the Mensik vs Tien market?
PolySpotter recorded one smart money signal totaling $2,250 across the event. The latest alert says a 96% winner scaled into Mensik, indicating notable tracked trading activity favoring Mensik.
Who is favored in the Mensik vs Tien Polymarket event?
The latest PolySpotter alert points to Mensik as the player receiving the tracked smart money activity. Market prices provide the current crowd-implied favorite and may change over time.
When does the Mensik vs Tien prediction market resolve?
The market resolves to Jakub Mensik if he advances and to Learner Tien if he advances. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or no winner is determined by the stated deadline, the market follows the exchange’s listed resolution rules.