Part of: US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien

Mensik vs. Tien: Match O/U 38.5

This Polymarket tennis market predicts whether the Jakub Mensik vs. Learner Tien match will have 39 or more total games (Over) or 38 or fewer (Under). The match is scheduled for September 5, 2026, and the market resolves after completion; one smart-money signal currently favors Over.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,318.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

90% win-rate tennis bettor buys Over

A highly proven bettor with a 90% win rate and $3.4M profit made a fresh, unusually large bet on Over at 53 cents.

  • This bettor has won 90% of 2,004 resolved positions and earned $3.43M in profit.
  • The $2,318 Over bet exceeds the market’s entire recent 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in a thin market.
  • The entry at 53¢ is below the current 55¢ price, implying the bettor sees meaningful value on Over 38.5 games.

$2,318 on Over | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb0e3...29eb Outcome 97376110, $4,444 (82% win rate)
  2. 0x7547...d158 Outcome 97376110, $218
  3. 0x8d10...940a Outcome 97376110, $50 (79% win rate)
  4. 0x910a...1aa7 Outcome 97376110, $35
  5. 0x5c54...f1d2 Outcome 97376110, $33
  6. 0xcb77...fbee Outcome 97376110, $30
  7. 0xb6fc...b24e Outcome 97376110, $22
  8. 0x5929...4684 Outcome 97376110, $20 (76% win rate)
  9. 0xe59a...0b67 Outcome 97376110, $20
  10. 0x05cf...f0f8 Outcome 97376110, $12

Related Theses

Spain-Argentina first half scoreless

Covers 3 related markets

Messi and Mac Allister blank

Covers 4 related markets

Portugal Croatia stays low scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Mensik vs. Tien: Match O/U 38.5

19hUS Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien$2,318 tracked1 signalTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Learner Tien in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 39. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the match been played to completion using the minimum number of additional games required. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Over
55¢
53¢
50¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Mensik vs. Tien: Match O/U 38.5

5d ago

$2,318 on Over at 53¢

Related Theses