Geneva Open: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien
13 signals across 1 market · $54,876 tracked · resolves May 28, 2026
This Geneva Open prediction market covers the match between Alex Michelsen and Learner Tien, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter is tracking $1,664 in smart money activity on the event, including a recent signal from a profitable serial sports bettor.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster buying Tien
High-scoring cluster of four wallets, including very profitable serial sports traders, all bought Learner Tien amid a major pre-event volume spike and price move.
$16,629Score: 14.8 - 92% winner exits favorite
A highly proven tennis trader with 92% wins and $102k profit sold Learner Tien near 84¢, effectively opposing a market favorite, though prior position history suggests this may have been profit-taking rather than a fresh full-size fade.
$3,217Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 10.3 - New profitable tennis whale
A 24-hour-old wallet with repeated large winning bets and $23.9k early profit bought $10.8k of Michelsen amid a major pre-match volume spike and upward price move.
$10,761Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 10.2 - 206-win serial sharp
Surfaced because a near-perfect, profitable wallet bought Learner Tien before a sharp move from 79¢ to 100¢.
$1,968Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 9.6 - $11M profitable serial trader
Highly profitable serial sports trader with $11.3M lifetime P&L bought Learner Tien amid a major pre-match volume spike and price move.
$6,351Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 8.8 - Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable high-volume sports trader with a long cross-market history bought Alex Michelsen at 31¢, ahead of the current 34¢ market price.
$2,269Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 8.2 - 91% sports sharp buying favorite
Proven profitable sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate bought Learner Tien at 73¢ and the market has already moved to 78¢.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 6.5 - 86% serial cross-market winner
A highly experienced cross-market bettor with an 86% resolved win rate bought Learner Tien despite a sharp short-term price drop, making this worth surfacing as a proven-wallet signal.
$2,802Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 6.5 - Proven serial sports sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 75% record over 2,955 resolved markets bought Alex Michelsen at 48¢, supported by a strong serial cross-market betting history.
$1,474Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 6.0 - 92% win-rate tennis sharp
Sharp tennis bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and $101k lifetime profit is buying Learner Tien at 52¢.
$1,980Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 6.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x25cb60…03a3$10,761 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$8,016 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 63% wins
- 0xc181a8…0992$5,197 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 90% wins
- 0x49007e…4a72$2,802 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0x204f72…5e14$2,660 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
- 0x5b6331…11a4$2,269 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0x18de09…7c92$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x469861…d7a5$1,968 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x160bf4…4296$1,474 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0x0a2605…1851$1,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien?
The market prices the chance that either Alex Michelsen or Learner Tien advances in their Geneva Open match. Check the live event page for current odds, price movement, and market-implied probabilities.
What is the smart money doing on Michelsen vs Tien?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,664 in smart money activity across this event, including one recent alert tied to a profitable serial sports bettor. That signal can help identify where sharper bettors may be taking a position.
When does the Michelsen vs Tien market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve once the Geneva Open match has a winner. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than seven days without a winner, resolution follows the market rules.
What outcomes are being traded in this event?
This event trades the two possible match outcomes: Alex Michelsen advances or Learner Tien advances. The event hub aggregates the odds and smart money signals for the full matchup.