Part of: Geneva Open: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien
Geneva Open: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $54,876.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
206-win serial sharp
Surfaced because a near-perfect, profitable wallet bought Learner Tien before a sharp move from 79¢ to 100¢.
- This bettor has won 206 of 207 resolved bets and is up $161k lifetime.
- They bought Learner Tien at 79¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
- The trade came alongside a 13.6x volume spike and a rapid 25-point price move.
$1,968 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 100%
92% winner exits favorite
A highly proven tennis trader with 92% wins and $102k profit sold Learner Tien near 84¢, effectively opposing a market favorite, though prior position history suggests this may have been profit-taking rather than a fresh full-size fade.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $102,530 lifetime.
- They sold Learner Tien at 84¢ after entering around 52¢, locking profit near the top.
- The trade effectively priced Alex Michelsen at 16¢, far below the current 38¢ market price.
$3,217 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 90%
86% serial cross-market winner
A highly experienced cross-market bettor with an 86% resolved win rate bought Learner Tien despite a sharp short-term price drop, making this worth surfacing as a proven-wallet signal.
- This bettor has won 86% of 671 resolved trades and is up $44.7K lifetime.
- They are extremely active across events, with $8.2M traded over 495 markets.
- Learner Tien has fallen from the trader’s 81¢ entry to about 72¢, so the market is currently cheaper than their fill.
$2,802 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable sports whale buying dip
Profitable high-volume sports wallet bought Learner Tien at 77¢ during a rapid move, and the position has already moved to 82¢.
- This bettor is up $1.3M lifetime across more than 53,000 resolved bets.
- They bought Learner Tien at 77¢ after a fast price move, and the market is already up to 82¢.
- Entry at 77¢ suggests they saw value despite Tien already being the heavy favorite.
$2,660 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 54%
91% sports sharp buying favorite
Proven profitable sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate bought Learner Tien at 73¢ and the market has already moved to 78¢.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $24,356 lifetime.
- They have traded across 28 sports events with a strong track record, making the wallet itself the signal.
- Bought Learner Tien at 73¢ before the market moved to 78¢, suggesting early confirmation.
$2,000 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 92%
New profitable tennis whale
A 24-hour-old wallet with repeated large winning bets and $23.9k early profit bought $10.8k of Michelsen amid a major pre-match volume spike and upward price move.
- This 24-hour-old bettor is already up $23.9k and has won 7 of 8 resolved bets.
- They bought $10.8k of Alex Michelsen at 51¢, their sixth flagged large bet in under a day.
- Market activity spiked 131x while Michelsen’s price jumped nearly 20 points, supporting the same direction.
$10,761 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 80%
$11M profitable serial trader
Highly profitable serial sports trader with $11.3M lifetime P&L bought Learner Tien amid a major pre-match volume spike and price move.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 7,679 resolved bets and $11.3M in lifetime profit.
- They actively trade across sports markets, with 2,148 markets tracked and a 72% win rate.
- The buy came during a 131x volume spike, suggesting the market is moving before the match.
$6,351 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable high-volume sports trader with a long cross-market history bought Alex Michelsen at 31¢, ahead of the current 34¢ market price.
- This bettor has won 70% of 25,367 resolved trades and is up about $192K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 320 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
- Entry at 31¢ is already ahead of the current 34¢ price, implying early value on Michelsen.
$2,269 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 69%
Sharp cluster buying Tien
High-scoring cluster of four wallets, including very profitable serial sports traders, all bought Learner Tien amid a major pre-event volume spike and price move.
- Four wallets put $16.6K on Learner Tien, all in the same direction.
- One bettor has won 206 of 207 resolved bets and is up $161K lifetime.
- Tien’s price jumped about 28 points as volume spiked 28x before the match.
$16,629 on Learner Tien
92% win-rate tennis sharp
Sharp tennis bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and $101k lifetime profit is buying Learner Tien at 52¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $101k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with nearly $963k bet across 599 markets.
- Entry at 52¢ suggests they see Tien as meaningfully undervalued in a near-even match.
$1,980 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0x0dcf...c556 — Outcome 29759456, $20,000 (88% win rate)
- 0x482d...ba5e — Outcome 29759456, $19,000 (57% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 29759456, $9,634 (81% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 29759456, $5,487 (77% win rate)
- 0x0a26...1851 — Outcome 29759456, $2,835 (77% win rate)
- 0xa3f8...4682 — Outcome 29759456, $2,490 (87% win rate)
- 0x0c87...98b1 — Outcome 29759456, $2,010
- 0x0d96...7c16 — Outcome 29759456, $2,000 (97% win rate)
- 0x6ca4...348f — Outcome 29759456, $1,787 (80% win rate)
- 0xe5b3...49f8 — Outcome 29759456, $1,615 (81% win rate)
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