Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik
33 signals across 3 markets · $155,351 tracked · resolves Jun 5, 2026
This event tracks the Roland Garros ATP match between Alex de Minaur and Jakub Mensik, with prediction-market traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has tracked $4,999 in smart-money activity on the event, including a recent signal that a 92% winning trader backed the favorite.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster buying underdog
A five-wallet Alex de Minaur cluster is worth surfacing because it includes a bettor with an 87% record and multiple profitable high-volume sports traders buying into a sharp price drop.
$10,644Score: 19.8 - 98% winner joins 12-wallet push
Elite 98% winning wallet bought Jakub Mensik amid coordinated one-sided flow, a major volume spike, and a sharp price move.
$2,500Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 18.8 - 12-wallet Mensik steam
High-scoring alert driven by 12-wallet one-sided flow toward Jakub Mensik, a profitable serial sports trader, and a major pre-match price move against Alex de Minaur.
$1,179Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 15.9 - Profitable new whale joins cluster
High-conviction Mensik buy from a profitable new wallet, backed by 12-wallet one-sided flow, a 32x volume spike, and a sharp price move.
$19,888Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 14.8 - Elite 89% sports bettor
Elite sports bettor with an 89% long-run win rate and strong profits bought Alex de Minaur, with additional support from a major pre-event volume spike.
$4,860Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 9.4 - 92% win-rate tennis sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Alex de Minaur amid a large pre-event volume spike.
$4,999Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 8.4 - Clustered Mensik momentum
Coordinated Mensik buying plus a major move from 60¢ to 88¢ makes this worth surfacing, though the wallet’s long-term P&L is negative despite a high raw win rate.
$1,211Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 8.1 - 93% winner backing favorite
Sharp sports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Alex de Minaur amid a large pre-match volume spike.
$1,875Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 8.1 - Elite 91% sports bettor
Elite sports bettor with a 91% record and $1.67M lifetime profit bought $7.6k of Alex de Minaur at 78¢.
$7,561Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 8.0 - 92% winner backs underdog
Elite sports bettor with a 92% record and $713k profit is buying the underdog at 20¢ despite a liquid market.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 8.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x979fc1…4032$30,697 · 1 market · 6 alerts · 95% wins
- 0xc11738…de2f$19,888 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0xd12321…d341$12,970 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 75% wins
- 0x84cb17…28ad$11,994 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x1eaf5d…9bf0$9,457 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 63% wins
- 0xf284ad…b9f9$7,561 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0x526852…135d$5,955 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
- 0xcd65c3…ee96$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x479e33…91c3$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0xdd5ef1…9040$4,860 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik?
The odds reflect how Polymarket traders are pricing each player’s chance to advance in the Roland Garros ATP match. Check the event page for the latest market prices and movement before the match resolves.
Who is smart money backing in De Minaur vs Mensik?
PolySpotter has tracked one smart-money signal totaling $4,999 on this event. The latest alert shows a 92% winner backing the favorite, suggesting notable confidence on that side of the market.
What outcomes can traders bet on in this event?
This event covers the match winner: Alex de Minaur to advance or Jakub Mensik to advance. The market resolves based on which player wins the match and moves on.
When does the De Minaur vs Mensik market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for May 29, 2026, and the market is set to resolve once a winner is determined, with a listed resolution deadline of June 5, 2026.
What happens if the match is canceled or delayed?
If the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed beyond the market’s stated window without a result, the market follows Polymarket’s resolution rules for canceled or unresolved matches.