Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik
This Polymarket market covers the Roland Garros ATP match between Alex de Minaur and Jakub Mensik, scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by June 5, 2026 if a winner is determined. PolySpotter is tracking $2,020 in smart money and 1 smart money signal, including activity from a profitable serial sports bettor.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Jakub Mensik in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Jakub Mensik. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,945.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market sports bettor is effectively backing Mensik at 25¢ against the current favorite.
- This bettor is up $361K lifetime across 135 resolved markets.
- They have traded across 33 events with a 70% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Selling Alex de Minaur at 75¢ is effectively a buy on Jakub Mensik at 25¢.
$2,020 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 70% record and $361k lifetime profit made a large quiet-market buy on Alex de Minaur.
- This bettor has won 70% of 135 resolved trades and is up $361k lifetime.
- The $8.9k buy was nearly the entire 24h market volume, showing strong conviction in a quieter tennis market.
- They have traded across 32 events with a 70% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting edge.
$8,926 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 70%
92% winner backs favorite
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate is buying Alex de Minaur with a $5k stake that equals about half the market's 24h volume.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $356k lifetime.
- They have traded 59 related sports events with the same 92% hit rate.
- The $5k buy is about 51% of the market’s 24h volume, showing real conviction.
$4,999 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Jakub Mensik, $20,000 (80% win rate)
- 0x979f...4032 — Alex de Minaur, $6,756 (92% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Alex de Minaur, $5,974 (76% win rate)
- 0xd123...d341 — Alex de Minaur, $4,250 (70% win rate)
- 0xc6cc...1e37 — Jakub Mensik, $2,611
- 0x820a...ca12 — Jakub Mensik, $2,300 (64% win rate)
- 0xadfb...c2ef — Alex de Minaur, $2,033
- 0x9cd1...1eb0 — Alex de Minaur, $1,700
- 0x99d7...6435 — Alex de Minaur, $1,500 (89% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Alex de Minaur, $844 (64% win rate)
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