HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Francisco Cerundolo
16 signals across 1 market · $60,259 tracked · resolves Jun 27, 2026
This HSBC Championships prediction market tracks who will advance between Brandon Nakashima and Francisco Cerundolo, with traders pricing the match outcome in real time. PolySpotter has tracked $2,612 in smart money activity on this event, including a signal from a profitable serial sports bettor.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp wallets buying rebound
Surfacing because a profitable sharp wallet and an 80% winner joined a 3-wallet one-sided Nakashima move during a major pre-match volume spike, though price has already rebounded sharply.
$7,359Score: 17.6 - Sharp-led tennis cluster
Coordinated Nakashima buying is backed by a strong sports bettor with an 86% record, a major pre-event volume spike, and a 14-point price move.
$11,331Score: 17.1 - Sharp tennis cluster buying underdog
Five wallets, including profitable high-volume sports traders and a 79% winner, are aligned on Francisco Cerundolo despite the market now offering a cheaper entry than their average fill.
$9,195Score: 13.6 - Proven tennis sharp buying
Surface because a proven 79% winner with strong lifetime profit and extensive cross-market history bought Cerundolo, alongside same-direction cluster flow.
$1,267Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 12.5 - 97% serial sports sharp
Surface because this is a proven sharp wallet with a 97% resolved win rate and over $2.1M profit buying Cerundolo despite the market pricing him as the underdog.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 12.2 - New 9-for-9 tennis bettor
A very new repeat bettor with a 9-for-9 early record bought Cerundolo at 90¢ before the market moved to 100¢ amid a major volume spike.
$1,238Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 8.6 - 86% win-rate tennis sharp
Sharp sports bettor with an 86% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Brandon Nakashima, coinciding with a rapid 14-point price move.
$2,200Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 8.4 - 97% serial sports sharp
Surface because this is a proven sharp wallet with a 97% resolved win rate and over $2.1M profit buying Cerundolo despite the market pricing him as the underdog.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 8.0 - Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought Cerundolo at 75¢ before the market moved to 100¢, amid a major volume spike and rapid price action.
$1,432Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 7.6 - 92% serial sports sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 92% resolved win rate bought Francisco Cerundolo, alongside a major pre-event volume spike and immediate move to 100%.
$2,966Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 7.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf5198d…906b$8,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0xbdb0e4…f8ba$4,950 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0x5f659b…2036$3,000 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 96% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$2,966 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0xd3d22e…fe85$2,612 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0xe9d31c…079f$2,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0x67ed23…085a$1,703 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
- 0x90e3bc…2846$1,609 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x9a8c93…ba13$1,432 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0x6e0eab…229e$1,298 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
FAQs
What are the Nakashima vs Cerundolo odds on Polymarket?
The Polymarket odds reflect the market-implied chance that Brandon Nakashima or Francisco Cerundolo advances in their HSBC Championships match. Prices can move as traders react to form, lineup news, injuries, and match timing.
What is the smart money doing on Nakashima vs Cerundolo?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,612 in smart money activity on this event, with one recent signal tied to a profitable serial sports bettor. That activity can help identify where experienced traders are taking positions.
How does this HSBC Championships prediction market resolve?
The market resolves to Brandon Nakashima if he advances against Francisco Cerundolo, and to Francisco Cerundolo if he advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules, resolution follows Polymarket’s stated event terms.
When does the Nakashima vs Cerundolo market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, and the market is listed to resolve by June 27, 2026 at 12:00 UTC, subject to the official result and Polymarket rules.