Part of: HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Francisco Cerundolo
16 smart money signals detected, totaling $60,259.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
New 9-for-9 tennis bettor
A very new repeat bettor with a 9-for-9 early record bought Cerundolo at 90¢ before the market moved to 100¢ amid a major volume spike.
- This new wallet is 9-for-9 on resolved bets and has already placed 9 positions in its first week.
- They bought Cerundolo at 90¢ before the market moved to 100¢, showing strong timing on this match.
- The market saw a 46.9x volume spike, suggesting broader money rushed in around the same side.
$1,238 on Francisco Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 100%
92% serial sports sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 92% resolved win rate bought Francisco Cerundolo, alongside a major pre-event volume spike and immediate move to 100%.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.7M lifetime.
- They have traded 598 events for $8.2M total, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Bought Cerundolo at 89¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
$2,966 on Francisco Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 92%
89% serial sports sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 89% resolved win rate bought Cerundolo at 90¢ during a major volume spike, and the market has since moved to 100%.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $169k lifetime.
- They have traded across 154 events with over $1.0M in tracked volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Cerundolo was bought at 90¢ during a 47x volume spike and has already moved to 100¢.
$4,950 on Francisco Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 84%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought Cerundolo at 75¢ before the market moved to 100¢, amid a major volume spike and rapid price action.
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $172,779 lifetime.
- They have traded 118 related events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge.
- Bought Francisco Cerundolo at 75¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
$1,432 on Francisco Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 60%
Sharp tennis cluster buying underdog
Five wallets, including profitable high-volume sports traders and a 79% winner, are aligned on Francisco Cerundolo despite the market now offering a cheaper entry than their average fill.
- Five wallets are all backing Francisco Cerundolo for about $7.5K total.
- The group includes a bettor who wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $57.8K lifetime.
- Current odds near 46¢ are below the cluster’s roughly 60¢ average entry.
$9,195 on Francisco Cerundolo
Sharp bettor caught tennis move
Sharp 80% winner sold Cerundolo at 82¢, equivalent to buying Nakashima at 18¢, before a major price move toward Nakashima.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and has beaten market odds by a wide margin.
- They effectively bought Nakashima at 18¢ before the market moved to 54¢.
- Volume spiked 11.7x, supporting that this was part of a broader pre-match move.
$1,298 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 69%
Sharp wallets buying rebound
Surfacing because a profitable sharp wallet and an 80% winner joined a 3-wallet one-sided Nakashima move during a major pre-match volume spike, though price has already rebounded sharply.
- A bettor up $51k lifetime bought Nakashima heavily, joined by another who has won 80% of resolved bets.
- Three wallets put $7.4k on the same Nakashima side during a 10.8x pre-match volume spike.
- Their entries were mostly far below the current 50¢ price, so the best edge was near the 18¢–38¢ buys.
$7,359 on Brandon Nakashima
Proven tennis sharp buying
Surface because a proven 79% winner with strong lifetime profit and extensive cross-market history bought Cerundolo, alongside same-direction cluster flow.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $57.8k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 74 events with the same 79% win record.
- Three wallets bought Francisco Cerundolo in the same window, totaling about $3.9k.
$1,267 on Francisco Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable 77% tennis bettor
Sharp tennis bettor with a 77% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Brandon Nakashima, though the market has since moved below their 75¢ entry.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $29.1K lifetime.
- They have beaten typical odds by about 25 points across 62 resolved trades.
- They bought Brandon Nakashima at 75¢, while the market is now around 55¢.
$1,703 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 53%
Experienced trader on momentum
Experienced high-volume cross-market trader bought $8.1k of Nakashima amid a major pre-event volume spike and fast 14-point price move, suggesting momentum worth monitoring despite no proven wallet edge.
- A very active bettor with 1,964 resolved trades put $8.1k on Nakashima at 81¢.
- Market volume spiked 150x above normal, with Nakashima moving up 14 points in just 3 minutes.
- Entry at 81¢ suggests a high-conviction favorite bet rather than a long-shot punt.
$8,100 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 65%
Top Holders
- 0x26b4...b8a9 — Outcome 59052286, $18,669 (51% win rate)
- 0x3d97...f263 — Outcome 59052286, $17,584 (68% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 59052286, $13,261 (59% win rate)
- 0xf519...906b — Outcome 59052286, $10,000 (65% win rate)
- 0xe9d3...079f — Outcome 59052286, $3,454 (86% win rate)
- 0x9fad...5a9f — Outcome 59052286, $3,063 (41% win rate)
- 0x90e3...2846 — Outcome 59052286, $3,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x0267...7f7e — Outcome 59052286, $1,744 (70% win rate)
- 0xe98c...8792 — Outcome 59052286, $1,420 (99% win rate)
- 0x54a3...9b39 — Outcome 59052286, $1,259 (91% win rate)
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