Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien
18 signals across 1 market · $102,950 tracked · resolves May 30, 2026
This Geneva Open prediction market tracks the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Learner Tien, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has flagged $1,520 in smart money activity, including a signal from a profitable serial sports bettor, giving searchers a quick read on how informed bettors are approaching the matchup.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable wallets backing Tien
Surfaced because four wallets pushed the same Learner Tien direction with $9.5k, including two profitable high-win bettors, though there is some opposing Navone flow.
$9,522Score: 15.6 - 99% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly profitable 99% win-rate wallet bought Mariano Navone despite adverse price movement, with supporting one-sided flow from three wallets.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 14.1 - Sharp cluster chasing Navone
Strong one-sided Navone flow from four wallets, including profitable high-volume bettors, coincided with a 20.9x volume spike and a 29-point price move.
$9,855Score: 13.2 - 95% win-rate tennis sharp
A highly profitable 95% win-rate bettor with extensive cross-market history bought $4.9k of Navone amid a major pre-match volume spike.
$4,900Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 10.5 - Profitable wallet joining Navone flow
Coordinated Navone buying plus a major price move, with a historically profitable wallet effectively entering at 18¢.
$1,341Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 8.1 - Sharp sports cluster on underdog
Three wallets are taking the Navone side, led by a highly profitable serial sports trader with a 92% win rate and $2.48M lifetime profit.
$7,455Score: 8.1 - 98% win-rate sports sharp
Surfacing because a highly profitable sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and major cross-market history bought $5,000 of Mariano Navone at 59¢.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 8.0 - New profitable whale on underdog
New 8-day wallet with repeat large-bet behavior and strong early profits put $15.5k on Learner Tien amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$15,500Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 7.7 - Repeat new whale on underdog
A repeat new-wallet bettor is putting nearly $20k on Learner Tien just before the match, alongside a major pre-event volume spike and early profitable history.
$19,936Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 7.4 - New profitable tennis whale
New 8-day-old wallet with strong early profit and repeated large flagged bets put $12.4k on Learner Tien just before the match amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$12,436Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 7.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0x187a72…a22b$47,872 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 69% wins
- 0xcd65c3…ee96$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x03f8db…d85a$4,900 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$3,730 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0x8f25f7…51f3$2,713 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 80% wins
- 0xfecb4e…19ba$2,033 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0x86e99f…4cdf$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x5b6331…11a4$1,799 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$1,711 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0xc18194…6e97$1,520 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
FAQs
What are the Navone vs Tien odds on Polymarket?
The market prices the implied chance that Mariano Navone or Learner Tien wins and advances in their Geneva Open match. Odds can move as traders react to form, injuries, lineup news, and betting activity.
Who is smart money backing in Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,520 in smart money activity on this event, including a recent alert tied to a profitable serial sports bettor. Check the live market page to see which outcome that trader backed and whether other sharp bettors follow.
What outcomes are being traded for this Geneva Open match?
The event covers the match winner: Mariano Navone to advance or Learner Tien to advance. The market is focused on who wins the match, not individual set scores or game totals.
When does the Navone vs Tien market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the match winner is determined, with a listed resolution deadline of May 30, 2026. If the match is canceled or delayed beyond the rules window without a winner, special resolution rules may apply.