Part of: Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien

Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien

This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Learner Tien in the Geneva Open, originally scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Learner Tien. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Mariano Navone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

18 smart money signals detected, totaling $102,950.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Learner Tien, and the market now offers a better entry than their 89¢ fill.

This bettor wins 70% of resolved trades across 26,542 bets and is up $219K lifetime.
They have traded across 329 events with $1.28M in serial cross-market volume.
Their entry was 89¢, while Tien is now around 76¢, giving followers a better price than the original trade.

$1,799 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 71%

Sharp sports cluster on underdog

Three wallets are taking the Navone side, led by a highly profitable serial sports trader with a 92% win rate and $2.48M lifetime profit.

A bettor with a 92% track record and $2.48M lifetime profit is effectively buying Navone.
Three wallets put $7.5K on the same underdog side despite Navone trading near 24%.
Another wallet in the cluster has won 21 of 22 resolved bets and is up $12.7K.

$7,455 on Mariano Navone

92% winning tennis sharp

Surfacing because this is a proven high-volume sharp bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and $2.48M profit buying Learner Tien, alongside a pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $2.48M lifetime.
They have traded across 404 events with nearly $4.9M in tracked cross-market volume.
They bought Learner Tien at 77¢, while the market has since drifted to 66¢.

$1,711 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable wallets backing Tien

Surfaced because four wallets pushed the same Learner Tien direction with $9.5k, including two profitable high-win bettors, though there is some opposing Navone flow.

Four wallets put $9.5k behind Learner Tien as his price moved sharply upward.
Two wallets in the flow win 77–78% of resolved bets and are up a combined $32k lifetime.
One large serial trader added multiple Tien buys as the price climbed from 56¢ to 70¢.

$9,522 on Learner Tien

99% win-rate tennis bettor

A highly profitable 99% win-rate wallet bought Mariano Navone despite adverse price movement, with supporting one-sided flow from three wallets.

This bettor has won 70 of 71 resolved bets and is up $301,923 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 33 events with a 99% track record.
Three wallets bought the same side for about $5,002 total, and this entry is now cheaper than the bettor paid.

$2,000 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 93%

Profitable wallet joining Navone flow

Coordinated Navone buying plus a major price move, with a historically profitable wallet effectively entering at 18¢.

Three wallets all backed the same side for about $5k, pushing a clear Navone move.
This wallet is profitable overall, up $34.8k across $394.8k of prior bets.
Their sell of Tien at 82¢ equals buying Navone at 18¢, while the market has already moved to 36¢.

$1,341 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 73%

78% serial sports winner

Sharp 78% lifetime winner exited Navone after a sharp price drop, effectively backing Learner Tien at 34¢ with strong cross-market history.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $25,373 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 27 events, with $61,311 tracked in similar positioning.
Selling Navone at 66¢ is equivalent to backing Learner Tien around 34¢, before the market moved further toward Tien.

$1,170 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 78% resolved win rate and +$25.7k lifetime P&L bought Mariano Navone despite the market already pricing him as a heavy favorite.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $25.7k lifetime.
They have traded across 26 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
Bought Mariano Navone at 87¢, implying confidence even with the market already favoring him heavily.

$1,542 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 80%

Sharp cluster chasing Navone

Strong one-sided Navone flow from four wallets, including profitable high-volume bettors, coincided with a 20.9x volume spike and a 29-point price move.

Four wallets put $9.9k on Mariano Navone in the same direction.
The flow includes bettors up $1.36M and $384k lifetime, plus one wallet winning 87% of resolved bets.
Navone jumped from 15¢ to about 50¢ as volume spiked 20.9x before the match.

$9,855 on Mariano Navone

95% win-rate tennis sharp

A highly profitable 95% win-rate bettor with extensive cross-market history bought $4.9k of Navone amid a major pre-match volume spike.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $310k lifetime.
They have traded 117 events with $740k deployed, showing a long track record rather than a one-off bet.
Market volume spiked 104x before the match, and this wallet entered Navone at 57¢.

$4,900 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 96%