Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Tabur
10 signals across 2 markets · $82,395 tracked · resolves May 26, 2026
This Geneva Open event tracks prediction-market odds for Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Tabur, focused on the set handicap market: Popyrin -1.5 sets versus Tabur +1.5 sets. PolySpotter has tracked $2,021 in smart money activity across this event, including a recent thin-market bet signal that may be worth watching carefully.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Coordinated Tabur whale cluster
Coordinated Tabur buying from multiple wallets, including a highly profitable sports bettor, coincided with a sharp volume spike and rapid odds move.
$26,398Score: 25.0 - Sharp tennis cluster buying underdog
A six-wallet cluster, including a highly profitable 72% winner up $10.4M, bought $23.6k of Clement Tabur and moved the price sharply from 29¢ to 37¢.
$23,588Score: 14.6 - 15-wallet funded tennis cluster
High-score alert with 15 linked wallets and 4-wallet one-sided buying on Popyrin, backed by a profitable serial cross-market trader and a major pre-match volume spike.
$1,684Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 12.2 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% record and over $1M P&L bought Popyrin during a major pre-match volume spike.
$3,397Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 12.0 - 87% tennis sharp on underdog
Sharp wallet with an 87% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought the Tabur underdog despite the market later moving against the position.
$1,272Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 9.7 - Profitable tennis cluster
Three profitable, high-volume tennis traders bought the same side in quick succession during a 17x pre-event volume spike.
$9,659Score: 8.3 - Million-dollar serial bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Popyrin amid a major pre-event volume spike, though the market has moved against their 71¢ entry.
$8,725Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 6.3 - New wallet thin-market bet
A 3-hour-old wallet put about $2k on Tabur in a thin tennis handicap market, making a bet roughly equal to the market's recent volume.
$2,021Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 3.5 - Profitable serial sports trader
A profitable serial sports trader bought Popyrin at 63¢ before the market moved to 94¢, suggesting they caught a major repricing early.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 58%Score: 3.2 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a 68% record and nearly $290k lifetime P&L bought Popyrin at 62¢.
$3,651Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x9ac253…be3d$12,122 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 78% wins
- 0xd12321…d341$3,651 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0x6b97eb…8d30$2,021 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x3663ed…8950$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
- 0x5234c8…4c4f$1,684 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0xb184c7…b6c6$1,272 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
FAQs
What are the Popyrin vs Tabur odds on Polymarket?
This event’s active market is the set handicap: Popyrin (-1.5) vs Tabur (+1.5). The live Polymarket price reflects traders’ expectations for whether Popyrin can win comfortably or Tabur can keep the match within the handicap.
What does Popyrin -1.5 vs Tabur +1.5 mean?
Popyrin -1.5 means he needs to win the match in straight sets for that side to cash. Tabur +1.5 means Tabur covers if he wins the match or loses while still taking at least one set.
Is smart money betting on Popyrin vs Tabur?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,021 in smart money across this event from 1 signal. The latest alert was a new wallet thin-market bet, which can move prices more easily but should be interpreted with caution due to lower liquidity.
When does the Popyrin vs Tabur market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by May 26, 2026, depending on the official match result. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules without a winner, resolution follows Polymarket’s stated criteria.