Part of: Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Tabur
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Tabur
This Geneva Open prediction market covers whether Alexei Popyrin or Clement Tabur will advance from their scheduled May 19, 2026 match. The market resolves by May 26, 2026, and PolySpotter is tracking $30,082 in smart money across 3 signals, including recent whale and sharp-bettor activity around underdog Tabur.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $80,374.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports trader
A profitable serial sports trader bought Popyrin at 63¢ before the market moved to 94¢, suggesting they caught a major repricing early.
- This bettor has traded across 25 events and is up about $21K lifetime.
- They bought Popyrin at 63¢ before the market jumped to 94¢.
- The move is largely priced in now, but the early entry is worth tracking.
$2,000 on Alexei Popyrin | Wallet win rate: 58%
Coordinated Tabur whale cluster
Coordinated Tabur buying from multiple wallets, including a highly profitable sports bettor, coincided with a sharp volume spike and rapid odds move.
- A bettor who has won 72% of nearly 7,000 resolved bets and is up $10.4M joined the Tabur side.
- Seven wallets bought $26.4k of Tabur in the same window, with most entries around 29¢ before the move.
- The market saw a 68x volume spike and Tabur jumped 16.5 points in under 3 minutes.
$26,398 on Clement Tabur
15-wallet funded tennis cluster
High-score alert with 15 linked wallets and 4-wallet one-sided buying on Popyrin, backed by a profitable serial cross-market trader and a major pre-match volume spike.
- 15 linked wallets share the same funder, with 4 wallets buying Popyrin for $32.8K total.
- This bettor is up $368.7K lifetime across 75 resolved bets and regularly trades across sports markets.
- Volume is 67.6x above normal before the match, suggesting unusually strong pre-event positioning.
$1,684 on Alexei Popyrin | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% record and over $1M P&L bought Popyrin during a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor has won 73% of resolved trades and is up about $1.0M lifetime.
- They have traded 28 related sports events with over $2.1M deployed, suggesting a repeatable strategy.
- Market activity spiked 145x above normal before the match, adding momentum behind the signal.
$3,397 on Alexei Popyrin | Wallet win rate: 83%
Sharp tennis cluster buying underdog
A six-wallet cluster, including a highly profitable 72% winner up $10.4M, bought $23.6k of Clement Tabur and moved the price sharply from 29¢ to 37¢.
- A bettor who wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $10.4M joined this Tabur buy.
- Six wallets bought the same underdog within minutes, totaling $23.6k.
- Tabur jumped from 29¢ to 37¢ during the buying, with volume running 145x above normal.
$23,588 on Clement Tabur
Million-dollar serial bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Popyrin amid a major pre-event volume spike, though the market has moved against their 71¢ entry.
- This bettor has won 73% of resolved trades and is up about $1.03M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 27 events with over $2.17M in detected volume.
- Market activity spiked 66x before the match, suggesting broader positioning around this side.
$8,725 on Alexei Popyrin | Wallet win rate: 83%
87% tennis sharp on underdog
Sharp wallet with an 87% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought the Tabur underdog despite the market later moving against the position.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $171.8K lifetime.
- They are a proven cross-market trader, active across 42 events with the same 87% hit rate.
- They bought Clement Tabur at 44¢, and the current 38¢ price offers a cheaper entry than the sharp paid.
$1,272 on Clement Tabur | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable tennis cluster
Three profitable, high-volume tennis traders bought the same side in quick succession during a 17x pre-event volume spike.
- Three profitable bettors put $9.7k on Popyrin within 3 minutes.
- Two wallets are serial cross-market traders with 68% win rates and large lifetime profits.
- Pre-match volume spiked 17x, suggesting this was not routine market activity.
$9,659 on Alexei Popyrin
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a 68% record and nearly $290k lifetime P&L bought Popyrin at 62¢.
- This bettor wins 68% of resolved trades and is up about $290k lifetime.
- They have traded across 25 events in this pattern, with $229k total tied to cross-market activity.
- Entry at 62¢ suggests they see Popyrin as underpriced despite the market already being fairly liquid.
$3,651 on Alexei Popyrin | Wallet win rate: 69%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 10582568, $51,813 (72% win rate)
- 0x10ff...5088 — Outcome 10582568, $21,582 (55% win rate)
- 0x5fea...78b1 — Outcome 10582568, $18,439
- 0x45e4...7e20 — Outcome 10582568, $14,404 (41% win rate)
- 0xf56b...ac88 — Outcome 10582568, $11,157 (62% win rate)
- 0x363c...4463 — Outcome 10582568, $6,023 (42% win rate)
- 0x232c...e613 — Outcome 10582568, $5,101
- 0x0e1b...ecaf — Outcome 10582568, $3,504 (51% win rate)
- 0xb184...b6c6 — Outcome 10582568, $2,891 (77% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 10582568, $1,991 (75% win rate)
Related Theses
Knicks beat the Cavaliers
Covers 1 related market
Emilio Nava beats Bu
Covers 1 related market
Popyrin beats Tabur in Geneva
Covers 1 related market
Gaston upsets Khachanov
Covers 1 related market
Munar beats Basavareddy
Covers 1 related market
Qingdao-Beijing exceeds 2.5 goals
Covers 1 related market
Both teams score in Chengdu
Covers 1 related market
Beijing Guoan wins May 19
Covers 1 related market
Tabur beats Popyrin
Covers 1 related market
Bournemouth City goals galore
Covers 3 related markets
