Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
13 signals across 3 markets · $97,255 tracked · resolves May 19, 2026
This event tracks the Polymarket prediction market for Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has flagged $9,831 in smart money activity, including a signal from a profitable serial sports bettor.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster chasing move
Strong one-sided Basilashvili flow with a proven sharp wallet, a profitable repeat new wallet, a major price move, and a large pre-event volume spike makes this worth surfacing despite some opposing Rublev buying.
$20,433Score: 22.5 - Profitable new wallet with flow
A repeat new-wallet bettor with early profits is effectively buying Andrey Rublev, alongside one-sided flow from 3 wallets and a large pre-event volume spike.
$1,176Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 15.1 - 84% winner backs underdog
Sharp tennis bettor with an 84% historical win rate and strong positive P&L is taking a $2k underdog position on Basilashvili.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 10.7 - Profitable new repeat bettor
New repeat-flagged profitable wallet sold Rublev at 76¢, effectively backing Basilashvili at 24¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike, though prior positions suggest active trading rather than a clean first entry.
$1,522Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 8.3 - 79% winner backs favorite
Proven high-volume sports bettor with a 79% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought $5k of Rublev amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 6.7 - One-sided tennis flow
Three wallets put $30k one-sided on Rublev during a 68.8x pre-event volume spike, but wallet track records are mixed and the current price has moved below two entries.
$30,000Score: 6.4 - 80% winner tennis buyer
Proven high-volume winner with 80% win rate and $228k profit is buying Basilashvili on a tennis handicap, reinforced by a long serial cross-market history and oversized trade versus recent volume.
$2,200Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 6.0 - Profitable new repeat bettor
A repeat new-wallet bettor with early profits and many flagged large bets is buying Rublev amid a major pre-event volume spike, though their resolved track record is still small.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 6.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Proven profitable wallet with a 79% resolved win rate and $100k lifetime profit made a large Rublev first-set bet in a thin tennis market.
$4,900Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 5.5 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Rublev amid a major pre-event volume spike, though the stake is modest relative to market liquidity.
$1,993Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 5.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0x4f7582…af7e$14,731 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 79% wins
- 0x88d17a…18da$8,700 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0xf1bf65…492e$8,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0x479e33…91c3$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0xae5123…1d03$4,198 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 100% wins
- 0xae3019…079e$2,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xacf838…e791$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0xbfe640…fcc9$1,993 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
FAQs
What are the Rublev vs Basilashvili prediction market odds?
The live odds are set by Polymarket traders buying and selling shares on whether Andrey Rublev or Nikoloz Basilashvili will advance. PolySpotter tracks those market prices alongside smart money activity.
What is the smart money doing on Rublev vs Basilashvili?
PolySpotter has tracked $9,831 in smart money activity across this event, including a recent alert tied to a profitable serial sports bettor. That can help show where experienced prediction-market traders are taking positions.
How does the Rublev vs Basilashvili Polymarket resolve?
The market resolves to Andrey Rublev if he advances, or Nikoloz Basilashvili if he advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules, resolution follows Polymarket’s stated event terms.
When does the Rublev vs Basilashvili market resolve?
The event is scheduled for May 12, 2026, with resolution expected by May 19, 2026, depending on match completion and Polymarket’s official resolution process.