Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Andrey Rublev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
29 smart money signals detected, totaling $171,874.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Tennis steam follower
High-volume tennis regular bought Rublev amid a major pre-match odds move, with market volume spiking and Rublev rising sharply despite the wallet's negative lifetime P&L.
- Rublev has surged about 24 percentage points, and this bettor added at 90¢ while the market kept moving to 92¢.
- Market volume is running 11.5x above its usual pace, suggesting broad pre-match interest behind the move.
- The wallet is a very active sports trader across 216 events with a 73% hit rate, though lifetime P&L is negative.
$4,490 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 73%
78% serial sports winner
A proven serial cross-market sports trader with a 78% win rate bought Rublev before a 24-point move amid a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor has won 78% of 488 resolved markets and is up $74k lifetime.
- They bought Rublev at 87¢ before the market moved to 92¢, showing the trade is already being confirmed by price action.
- Market volume spiked 11.5x, with Rublev up 24 percentage points over the day.
$3,383 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 82%
New profitable wallet joins rush
High-score alert with a repeat new profitable wallet buying Rublev at 53¢ alongside 9-wallet one-sided flow, a 30x volume spike, and a major price move to 86¢.
- A new wallet with $5.3k profit has been repeatedly flagged and bought Rublev at 53¢ before the market moved to 86¢.
- Nine wallets are all betting the same way, totaling $42.2k on Rublev.
- Volume spiked 30x and Rublev’s price jumped sharply, suggesting strong pre-match momentum.
$5,200 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 60%
9-wallet one-sided surge
High-score coordinated one-sided flow: 9 wallets bought Rublev, including a repeat new wallet, alongside a 30x volume spike and a sharp price move from 61¢ to 86¢.
- 9 wallets all bought the same side, totaling $42K in coordinated Rublev demand.
- This 1-day-old wallet has already been flagged twice with nearly $12K in notable bets.
- The trade entered at 61¢ before the market jumped to 86¢, suggesting the flow caught a major repricing.
$2,000 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 95%
9-wallet Rublev momentum
High-scoring tennis alert with 9 wallets buying Rublev, a major price move, and a serial cross-market bettor participating despite the wallet's negative lifetime P&L.
- Nine wallets bought the same side, totaling $42.2K on Rublev.
- Rublev’s price jumped about 36 percentage points alongside a 30x volume spike.
- This bettor has traded 148 events with a 71% hit rate, though lifetime P&L is negative.
$9,300 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 84%
Profitable new wallet fades favorite
High-score alert driven by a repeat profitable new wallet and six-wallet one-sided flow backing Nikoloz Basilashvili, though the market has since moved sharply toward Rublev.
- A new repeat bettor with $70K flagged across 24 bets is already up $5.3K.
- Six wallets put about $60K on the same side, backing Nikoloz Basilashvili.
- This is a bold fade of the favorite in a high-volume tennis market with a 61x volume spike.
$4,548 on Nikoloz Basilashvili | Wallet win rate: 60%
Sharp bettor joins underdog flow
Sharp 89% winner is fading Rublev into a broader Basilashvili cluster, though this specific trade appears to be profit-taking from an earlier Rublev position.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $6.2K lifetime.
- Six wallets have bought the same underdog side for about $60K total.
- This trade is partly profit-taking, but selling Rublev at 54¢ equals buying Basilashvili at 46¢.
$1,080 on Nikoloz Basilashvili | Wallet win rate: 89%
Repeat new whale joins 6-wallet push
High-conviction Rublev buying from a repeat new-wallet whale coincided with a 53x volume spike, 6-wallet one-sided flow, and a 20-point price move.
- A repeat new-wallet bettor with $70K flagged already is up $4.9K early and added $9.2K on Rublev.
- Six wallets bought the same side for $25K, helping push Rublev from 33–53¢ entries to 60¢.
- Volume spiked 53x before the match, suggesting a broader rush into the same thesis.
$9,200 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 60%
One-sided Rublev flow
High-scoring tennis alert with six wallets backing Rublev, a major pre-event volume spike, and a serial cross-market bettor selling Basilashvili into a sharp move.
- Six wallets have backed the same side, putting $25.4K behind Rublev in this window.
- Market volume is spiking 53x above normal, with over $1M traded in the last 24 hours.
- This wallet is a very active sports trader across 167 events, though its lifetime P&L is negative.
$5,087 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable new wallet buying dip
High-score tennis alert with a profitable repeat new wallet buying Rublev after a sharp price drop alongside one-sided flow from four wallets.
- This new wallet has been flagged 23 times, with $65k in notable bets and $4.9k in early profit.
- Four wallets bought Rublev in the same window, putting $7.2k on the same side.
- Entry at 33¢ implies roughly a 3x payout if Rublev advances.
$4,000 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 60%
Related Theses
Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring
Covers 3 related markets
Real Madrid wins by exactly two
Covers 3 related markets
Tigers win a low-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
Rays dominate in a low-scoring win
Covers 3 related markets
