When does the Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili market resolve?

The match was originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, and the market resolution date is May 19, 2026 at 09:00 UTC. If the match is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, the market may resolve according to the cancellation or delay rules.

What smart money is PolySpotter tracking on this match?

PolySpotter is tracking $25,711 in smart money tied to this market, across 4 smart money signals. Recent alerts include a profitable tennis whale, sharp cluster buying the underdog, and profitable wallet clusters showing flow.

How does this Polymarket market handle a canceled match?

If the match is not played at all, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond the permitted 7-day window from the scheduled start, it will resolve based on the market’s stated cancellation and delay rules rather than to either player advancing.

Where can I find Rublev vs Basilashvili prediction market odds?

You can follow this market on PolySpotter to see Polymarket odds, smart money movement, whale activity, and recent trading signals for Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili.

Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

Q: What is the Rublev vs Basilashvili prediction market about?

This market lets traders predict which player will advance in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia match between Andrey Rublev and Nikoloz Basilashvili. It resolves to Andrey Rublev if Rublev advances, or Nikoloz Basilashvili if Basilashvili advances.

This prediction market covers the Internazionali BNL d'Italia tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Nikoloz Basilashvili, scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 19, 2026 if the match is played within the allowed window. PolySpotter is tracking $25,711 in smart money across 4 signals, including sharp and profitable wallet activity backing the underdog.

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Andrey Rublev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

19 smart money signals detected, totaling $107,653.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

New profitable tennis whale

New profitable repeat wallet and 5-wallet one-sided flow bought Basilashvili before a sharp move from 55¢ to 68¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.

A new repeat bettor with $4,879 profit has now been flagged 21 times for large bets.
Five wallets bought Basilashvili the same way, totaling $11,644 in one-sided flow.
This buy entered at 55¢ before the market jumped to 68¢ in minutes.

$1,225 on Nikoloz Basilashvili | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable new wallet cluster

Repeat profitable new wallet bought Basilashvili alongside 7-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

This new wallet has been repeatedly flagged for large bets and is already up $4,879 across early activity.
Seven wallets bought Basilashvili in the same window, totaling $17,865 on one side.
Volume spiked 30x versus normal, suggesting this tennis market is drawing unusual pre-match money.

$3,923 on Nikoloz Basilashvili | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp cluster fading Basilashvili

Three wallets sold Basilashvili, led by a profitable 80% win-rate bettor and supported by a serial cross-market trader pattern.

A profitable bettor with an 80% win rate and +$53k lifetime P&L led the move with an $8.9k sale.
Three wallets sold $11.1k of Basilashvili, effectively backing Rublev after a major odds swing.
One wallet in the flow has traded across 65 events with a 71% hit rate.

$11,069 on Andrey Rublev

Elite sports trader caught dip

A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Rublev at 15¢ before the price rebounded sharply, with supporting volume spike and price-impact signals.

This bettor has won 73% of nearly 5,000 resolved bets and is up about $8M lifetime.
They bought Andrey Rublev at 15¢, and the market has already moved to around 30¢.
The trade came during a 44x volume spike with a sharp short-term price move, suggesting informed dip-buying.

$1,198 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 73%

New profitable whale repeats

New repeat whale with early profits bought $10.7k of Basilashvili amid a 42x volume spike and meaningful price impact, though the current price is below their entry.

This new bettor has already made 19 flagged large bets and is up $4,386 early.
They bought $10.7k of Basilashvili while market volume spiked 42x above normal.
The bet helped push Basilashvili up sharply, but the current 70¢ price is below their 76–81¢ entries.

$10,698 on Nikoloz Basilashvili | Wallet win rate: 100%

94% winner on Rublev

A highly profitable 94% winner bought Rublev at 33¢ amid one-sided cluster flow and a major volume spike, though the price has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $123K lifetime.
Four wallets bought the same side, totaling $17K on Rublev.
Volume spiked 37x before the match, suggesting fresh attention on this side.

$1,900 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A profitable serial cross-market sports bettor made a $10.4k Rublev buy amid one-sided cluster flow and a major volume spike, though price has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor has won 69% of 48 resolved markets and is up $22,891 lifetime.
Four wallets bought the same side for $17,288 during a 37x volume spike.
The entry was 33¢, but the market has fallen to 16¢, so this is a higher-risk follow after adverse movement.

$10,399 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 69%

Linked cluster moving odds

Three wallets, two apparently linked, pushed the same Basilashvili side while the market moved sharply in their favor, though wallet track records are mixed rather than elite.

Three wallets all backed Basilashvili within minutes, with two wallets sharing a funder.
The coordinated buying came as Basilashvili jumped to 66% and Rublev fell 22 points in under 5 minutes.
One participant is a high-volume profitable trader, up about $290K lifetime across 5,077 resolved bets.

$4,313 on Nikoloz Basilashvili

Profitable new wallet with flow

A repeat new-wallet bettor with early profits is effectively buying Andrey Rublev, alongside one-sided flow from 3 wallets and a large pre-event volume spike.

This new wallet has been flagged 17 times and is already up $2,745 across 7 positions.
Three wallets are all betting Andrey Rublev the same way, totaling $13,476 in one-sided flow.
Market volume is surging, with an 89x spike before the match.

$1,176 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 100%

Repeat new-wallet cluster

Three wallets bought Nikoloz Basilashvili together, led by a repeat new-wallet bettor with early profit, though the market has since moved below their entry.

A repeat new wallet is scaling into this side after $55K in flagged bets and $4.9K profit so far.
Three wallets bought the same outcome for $6.2K, creating a coordinated one-sided tennis signal.
Basilashvili is now around 57¢, below this cluster’s roughly 70¢ average entry.

$6,221 on Nikoloz Basilashvili