Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot
9 signals across 2 markets · $63,030 tracked · resolves Nov 6, 2026
This Swiss Indoors Basel prediction market tracks whether Holger Rune or Valentin Vacherot advances from their match. PolySpotter has recorded one smart-money signal, with a profitable high-volume trader backing Rune; check the market for current odds.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp bettor leads four-wallet cluster
Four wallets put over $21k on Vacherot amid a 58.5x volume spike, including a trader with a 93% win rate and substantial historical profits, though the market has since moved against their entries.
$8,458Score: 7.3 - Proven 77% winner backs Vacherot
A highly profitable bettor with a strong 77% record is putting $5,050 on Vacherot at 42¢.
$16,637Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 5.0 - Proven 77% winner backs Vacherot
A highly profitable bettor with a strong 77% record is putting $5,050 on Vacherot at 42¢.
$5,050Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 4.7 - Proven 77% winner backs Vacherot
A highly profitable bettor with a strong 77% record is putting $5,050 on Vacherot at 42¢.
$4,900Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 4.7 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A consistently profitable trader is adding over $2,300 to an existing Vacherot position in a thin market, though their win rate does not establish a strong odds-adjusted edge.
$2,308Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 4.5 - Profitable serial cross-market trader
A highly profitable, high-volume trader with a 72% win rate took a $2,692 position on Vacherot at 45¢.
$2,692Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.3 - Profitable veteran amid volume spike
A highly experienced, profitable trader bought Rune at 62¢ amid a 58.5× pre-event volume spike, though the market is liquid and the wallet’s win rate is only modestly above its average winning price.
$4,425Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 3.8 - Profitable veteran amid volume spike
A highly experienced, profitable trader bought Rune at 62¢ amid a 58.5× pre-event volume spike, though the market is liquid and the wallet’s win rate is only modestly above its average winning price.
$6,542Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 3.8 - Profitable high-volume trader backs Rune
A highly experienced, massively profitable trader placed a concentrated $12,019 bet on Holger Rune in a low-volume market, despite only modest evidence of a per-bet edge.
$12,019Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 3.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0x21801d…08f0$26,587 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 78% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$12,019 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0x076daa…8d4c$10,966 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 69% wins
- 0x26b469…b8a9$2,692 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0x86eb13…6566$2,308 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Rune vs Vacherot?
The market's current odds reflect the latest prices for Rune and Vacherot to advance. Check the live market on this page for updated probabilities.
What is smart money doing in the Rune vs Vacherot market?
PolySpotter recorded one smart-money signal: a profitable high-volume trader backed Holger Rune. This is a tracked trading signal, not a guarantee of the match result.
What outcomes does this prediction market cover?
The market resolves to Holger Rune if he advances, or to Valentin Vacherot if he advances. Special resolution terms apply if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or has no determined winner by the stated deadline.
When does the Rune vs Vacherot market resolve?
The match was scheduled for October 30, 2026, at 5:00 AM ET. The event page lists November 6, 2026, as the resolution deadline; see the market rules for the full terms.