Part of: Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot

Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot

This Polymarket market covers whether Holger Rune or Valentin Vacherot advances in their Swiss Indoors Basel match, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026. Current odds were not included in the supplied data; PolySpotter tracks $12,019 in smart-money activity and one signal, with a recent alert showing a high-volume trader backing Rune.

This market refers to the tennis match between Holger Rune and Valentin Vacherot in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Holger Rune' if Holger Rune advances against Valentin Vacherot. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Holger Rune. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $60,722.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Proven 77% winner backs Vacherot

A highly profitable bettor with a strong 77% record is putting $5,050 on Vacherot at 42¢.

  • This bettor has won 77% of 149 resolved bets and earned about $485,000.
  • They are putting $5,050 on Vacherot at 42¢, despite Rune being the market favorite.

$16,637 on Valentin Vacherot | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable veteran amid volume spike

A highly experienced, profitable trader bought Rune at 62¢ amid a 58.5× pre-event volume spike, though the market is liquid and the wallet’s win rate is only modestly above its average winning price.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 49,008 resolved trades and is up $11.4M lifetime.
  • The $4,425 Rune buy coincided with a 58.5× spike in market volume; the price has since risen from 62¢ to 66¢.

$6,542 on Holger Rune | Wallet win rate: 69%

Sharp bettor leads four-wallet cluster

Four wallets put over $21k on Vacherot amid a 58.5x volume spike, including a trader with a 93% win rate and substantial historical profits, though the market has since moved against their entries.

  • A bettor with 658 resolved wins out of 704 and over $1.1M in profit bought Vacherot at 47¢.
  • Four wallets committed $21,179 to Vacherot as market volume surged to 58.5 times its historical average.
  • Vacherot is now priced at 34¢, below the group's 37¢–49¢ entries.

$8,458 on Valentin Vacherot

Profitable veteran amid volume spike

A highly experienced, profitable trader bought Rune at 62¢ amid a 58.5× pre-event volume spike, though the market is liquid and the wallet’s win rate is only modestly above its average winning price.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 49,008 resolved trades and is up $11.4M lifetime.
  • The $4,425 Rune buy coincided with a 58.5× spike in market volume; the price has since risen from 62¢ to 66¢.

$4,425 on Holger Rune | Wallet win rate: 69%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

A highly profitable, high-volume trader with a 72% win rate took a $2,692 position on Vacherot at 45¢.

  • This bettor has won 72% of 1,188 resolved bets and is up over $4.2M.
  • They put $2,692 on Valentin Vacherot at 45¢; the market is currently at 48¢.
  • The wallet has traded across 1,449 events, showing a substantial track record beyond this single bet.

$2,692 on Valentin Vacherot | Wallet win rate: 72%

Proven 77% winner backs Vacherot

A highly profitable bettor with a strong 77% record is putting $5,050 on Vacherot at 42¢.

  • This bettor has won 77% of 149 resolved bets and earned about $485,000.
  • They are putting $5,050 on Vacherot at 42¢, despite Rune being the market favorite.

$4,900 on Valentin Vacherot | Wallet win rate: 78%

Proven 77% winner backs Vacherot

A highly profitable bettor with a strong 77% record is putting $5,050 on Vacherot at 42¢.

  • This bettor has won 77% of 149 resolved bets and earned about $485,000.
  • They are putting $5,050 on Vacherot at 42¢, despite Rune being the market favorite.

$5,050 on Valentin Vacherot | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable high-volume trader backs Rune

A highly experienced, massively profitable trader placed a concentrated $12,019 bet on Holger Rune in a low-volume market, despite only modest evidence of a per-bet edge.

  • This trader is up $63.9M across more than 83,000 resolved bets.
  • They put $12,019 on Rune at 58¢, over five times the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The market has about $101,000 in liquidity, so the position is sizable but not overwhelming.

$12,019 on Holger Rune | Wallet win rate: 64%

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Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot

Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot$60,722 tracked8 signalsTennisSportsGames
Holger Rune
0¢
Valentin Vacherot
100¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Holger Rune and Valentin Vacherot in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Holger Rune' if Holger Rune advances against Valentin Vacherot. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Holger Rune. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Valentin Vacherot”
50¢
45¢
41¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot

2026-10-30 14:01 UTC

$16,637 on Valentin Vacherot at 42¢

42¢→100¢↑58¢

Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot

2026-10-30 13:33 UTC

$6,542 on Holger Rune at 62¢

Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot

2026-10-30 14:23 UTC

$8,458 on Valentin Vacherot at 34¢

34¢→100¢↑66¢

Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot

2026-10-30 13:22 UTC

$4,425 on Holger Rune at 62¢

Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot

2026-10-30 13:15 UTC

$2,692 on Valentin Vacherot at 45¢

45¢→100¢↑55¢

Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot

2026-10-30 12:35 UTC

$4,900 on Valentin Vacherot at 42¢

42¢→100¢↑58¢

Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot

2026-10-30 12:18 UTC

$5,050 on Valentin Vacherot at 42¢

42¢→100¢↑58¢

Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot

2026-10-30 04:42 UTC

$12,019 on Holger Rune at 58¢

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