National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca
10 signals across 3 markets · $61,043 tracked · resolves Aug 14, 2026
Follow the National Bank Open prediction market for the Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca tennis match, with outcomes traded for either player to advance. PolySpotter is tracking $1,589 in smart money and one signal, including a proven serial bettor backing Ruud.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable sharp joins Fonseca cluster
A proven high-volume bettor with an 81% win rate and $5.7M profit joined two other wallets in a $15,000 Joao Fonseca push that coincided with a 28-point price rise.
$15,060Score: 7.2 - 90% winner scaling into Ruud
A highly profitable serial trader with a 90% win rate is adding to an existing Casper Ruud position at 46¢.
$3,563Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 5.8 - Sharp serial bettor buys Ruud
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial edge bought Casper Ruud at 43%, well below the current 48% price.
$1,780Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 5.8 - 96% winner exits Fonseca
An exceptionally profitable serial trader sold a large Joao Fonseca position, implying a binary-equivalent buy on Casper Ruud, though the exit may reflect profit-taking.
$21,943Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 5.6 - 94% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and $7.46M lifetime profit placed a concentrated $4,000 position on Over 2.5 sets in a relatively thin market.
$4,000Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.6 - Elite bettor adds to Fonseca
A highly proven bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Joao Fonseca position at 54%.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 5.4 - Proven sharp backs Fonseca
A highly profitable, serial cross-market bettor with 2,395 resolved trades and an 18-point edge bought $6,080 of Joao Fonseca amid an 81x volume spike.
$6,080Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 5.3 - Serial sharp adding to Ruud
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 80% win rate and meaningful edge is adding $3,623 to an existing Casper Ruud position at 47%.
$3,623Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 4.7 - Proven serial bettor backs Ruud
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 74% win rate and 25-point performance gap over average winning entry prices is backing Casper Ruud at 46¢.
$1,589Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 4.3 - Serial trader makes oversized quiet-market bet
A highly experienced, profitable serial trader placed a $1,905 position at 35¢ in an unusually quiet tennis market, representing over seven times its 24-hour volume.
$1,905Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x5f659b…2036$21,943 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0xcf6c54…7e66$6,080 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0xcd65c3…ee96$4,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x33c96d…6f9a$3,623 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x59018f…63a2$3,563 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0x076daa…8d4c$1,905 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0x54bab0…04e4$1,780 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0xd3d22e…fe85$1,589 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
- 0x61f15c…7aef$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
FAQs
What are the Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca odds?
The latest odds are shown in the live Polymarket market for Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca. Prices represent the market-implied probability of each player advancing and can change as traders place bets.
What is the smart money doing in the Ruud vs Fonseca prediction market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,589 in smart money across this event and one signal so far. The latest alert reports that a proven serial bettor backed Casper Ruud.
When is the Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca match scheduled?
The National Bank Open match is scheduled for August 7, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.
When does the Ruud vs Fonseca Polymarket resolve?
The market resolves when the match winner is determined, with a listed resolution deadline of August 14, 2026. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than seven days without a winner, the exchange's stated fallback rules apply.