Part of: National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca

Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Ruud (+1.5)

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,905.

Notable Trades

Serial trader makes oversized quiet-market bet

A highly experienced, profitable serial trader placed a $1,905 position at 35¢ in an unusually quiet tennis market, representing over seven times its 24-hour volume.

This trader has won 66% of 15,562 resolved bets and is up $5.7 million lifetime.
The $1,905 Fonseca bet is more than seven times the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling notable conviction in a thin market.
Fonseca was bought at 35¢ while the market currently implies only a 36% chance, leaving room for upside if the handicap thesis is right.

$1,905 on Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

0xef26...05ba — Outcome 62571719, $5,867 (80% win rate)
0xffca...0b64 — Outcome 62571719, $248 (58% win rate)
0x1861...408d — Outcome 62571719, $154
0x6d3c...d294 — Outcome 62571719, $41 (57% win rate)
0x829b...0473 — Outcome 62571719, $8
0x2990...677d — Outcome 62571719, $5
0xd9c9...6686 — Outcome 62571719, $3
0x4353...6b02 — Outcome 62571719, $3
0xd89b...e23f — Outcome 62571719, $3
0x5ebd...0784 — Outcome 62571719, $2

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Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Ruud (+1.5)

ResolvedNational Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca$1,905 tracked1 signalTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Fonseca and Casper Ruud in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fonseca" if Joao Fonseca wins by 2 or more sets than Casper Ruud, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Ruud." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.