Geneva Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Edas Butvilas
10 signals across 1 market · $38,568 tracked · resolves May 25, 2026
This Geneva Open event tracks the prediction market for Lorenzo Sonego vs Edas Butvilas, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has flagged $3,625 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including action from a profitable serial sports bettor.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- New profitable whale joins Edas flow
High-score tennis alert with a 144x pre-event volume spike, three-wallet Edas buying, and a very new repeat whale with early profits buying at 59¢.
$7,392Score: 16.8 - Profitable cluster buying dip
High-scoring tennis alert with a 5-wallet Sonego cluster, major pre-match volume spike, and several profitable bettors, though opposing Butvilas flow makes it contested.
$11,743Score: 15.5 - Profitable new wallet joining cluster
A 2-day-old profitable wallet added $4,000 to Edas Butvilas amid a 6-wallet one-sided move, major volume spike, and rising price.
$4,000Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 15.3 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Massively profitable serial sports bettor bought Edas Butvilas amid one-sided flow from 6 wallets, a major volume spike, and a 15-point price move.
$1,095Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 13.3 - 80% winner backing underdog
Sharp 80% lifetime tennis bettor bought Lorenzo Sonego alongside one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike, despite the price later moving against the entry.
$1,696Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 10.7 - $10M serial bettor
High-conviction Sonego buy from a hugely profitable serial cross-market trader, backed by one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike despite the price moving against the original entry.
$3,287Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 10.7 - Elite serial sports bettor
A highly profitable 80% lifetime bettor bought Edas Butvilas at 88¢, adding a sharp-wallet signal to a strong price move and volume spike.
$4,529Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 8.9 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume serial sports bettor with a 70% long-run win rate is buying Sonego at 58¢.
$1,125Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Surfacing because this is a proven serial sports bettor with a 79% win rate and $443k lifetime profit buying Sonego at 58¢.
$2,500Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable high-volume serial sports trader bought Lorenzo Sonego at 59¢, with a 74% win rate across 694 resolved bets and $361k lifetime profit.
$1,200Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xcf6c54…7e66$4,529 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$4,382 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 72% wins
- 0xddfc67…bd59$4,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x479e33…91c3$2,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xa9c4b1…7433$1,696 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x0a2605…1851$1,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
- 0x5b6331…11a4$1,125 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
FAQs
What are the current Sonego vs Butvilas odds on Polymarket?
The odds are set by live prediction market trading on whether Lorenzo Sonego or Edas Butvilas advances in the Geneva Open match. Check the market price to see the latest implied probability for each outcome.
What is the smart money doing on Sonego vs Butvilas?
PolySpotter has tracked $3,625 in smart money activity across this event, with 2 recent signals. The alerts highlight activity from a profitable serial sports bettor, suggesting experienced sports traders are involved.
How does this Geneva Open prediction market resolve?
The market resolves to Lorenzo Sonego if he advances against Edas Butvilas, and to Edas Butvilas if he advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner, the market may resolve according to Polymarket’s stated rules.
When does the Sonego vs Butvilas market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, and the event is listed to resolve by May 25, 2026 at 17:30 UTC, assuming a winner is determined.
Is this a single-market event or a hub with multiple outcomes?
This event currently contains one child market covering the head-to-head match between Lorenzo Sonego and Edas Butvilas, with the traded outcomes tied to which player advances.