US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton
33 signals across 6 markets · $177,516 tracked · resolves Sep 18, 2026
Track the Polymarket prediction market for Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton in the 2026 US Open ATP. The event includes a game-spread market with Shelton at -4.5 and Tiafoe at +4.5; PolySpotter is tracking $4,728 in smart money, with a recent signal showing 92% of winner-backed activity favoring Tiafoe.
Markets (6)
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton19 signals · $93,247 tracked
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)4 signals · $30,600 tracked
- Game Spread: Shelton (-4.5) vs Tiafoe (+4.5)4 signals · $27,455 tracked
- Frances Tiafoe vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 3.54 signals · $20,266 tracked
- Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs Shelton1 signal · $3,447 tracked
- Tiafoe vs. Shelton: Match O/U 38.51 signal · $2,500 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Six-wallet Shelton conviction cluster
Six wallets added $34.3K to Ben Shelton at 73¢ during a 359x volume spike, including highly profitable bettors with strong long-term records.
$10,593Score: 8.2 - Proven bettor backs Ben Shelton
A highly experienced bettor with 1,166 resolved trades, an 81% win rate, and substantial lifetime profits placed a fresh $2,500 bet on Ben Shelton.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 7.4 - Sharp bettors scaling into Shelton
Two highly profitable bettors added to Shelton alongside a $15,700 one-sided surge that was 815 times normal volume, despite one opposing hedge from a losing wallet.
$15,700Score: 7.3 - Serial trader buys Shelton amid volume surge
A highly experienced, profitable serial trader entered Ben Shelton amid a 112x pre-event volume spike, though the position has yet to move in their favor.
$1,215Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 7.2 - Serial trader buys Shelton amid volume surge
A highly experienced, profitable serial trader entered Ben Shelton amid a 112x pre-event volume spike, though the position has yet to move in their favor.
$5,410Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 7.0 - 92% winner backs Tiafoe
A highly experienced bettor with a 92% win rate and $1.5M profit made a concentrated $4.7K purchase of Tiafoe in a thinly traded market.
$20,000Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.9 - 95% win-rate bettor adds to Shelton
A highly proven sports bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an existing Shelton position at 56%.
$3,500Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 5.8 - 92% winner backs Tiafoe
A highly experienced bettor with a 92% win rate and $1.5M profit made a concentrated $4.7K purchase of Tiafoe in a thinly traded market.
$4,728Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.7 - Sharp bettor scaling into Over
A highly profitable bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Over 3.5 position.
$1,160Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 5.6 - 87% win-rate bettor adds to Tiafoe
A highly proven bettor with an 87% win rate and $2.75M in profit is adding to a large Tiafoe position amid a major volume spike.
$3,600Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 5.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0x2a6966…d2f7$27,555 · 1 market · 11 alerts · 70% wins
- 0xf55927…f462$24,728 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x26b469…b8a9$22,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0x1e386b…fd47$19,739 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0xcf6c54…7e66$13,295 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 81% wins
- 0xbbf379…aa3a$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0x787969…3653$6,850 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 98% wins
- 0xc1a927…e2db$4,451 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x33c96d…6f9a$4,000 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 82% wins
- 0xa4fd70…748b$3,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
FAQs
What are the Tiafoe vs Shelton prediction-market odds?
This event tracks the market for the US Open match between Frances Tiafoe and Ben Shelton, including the Shelton -4.5 versus Tiafoe +4.5 game spread. Check the live market for current prices and implied probabilities.
What is smart money betting on in Tiafoe vs Shelton?
PolySpotter tracks $4,728 in smart money across the event. The latest alert reports that 92% of winner-backed activity favors Frances Tiafoe.
What markets are available for Tiafoe vs Shelton?
The event currently includes one child market: Game Spread, with Ben Shelton at -4.5 games and Frances Tiafoe at +4.5 games.
When does the Tiafoe vs Shelton market resolve?
The match was scheduled for September 11, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET. It resolves based on the player who advances; if the match is not played or no winner is determined within the stated resolution window, the market follows the exchange's cancellation and resolution rules.