Part of: US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton
Frances Tiafoe vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 3.5
This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Ben Shelton in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 4, and to "Under" otherwise. A set counts as played once it has begun, even if it is not played to completion. A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If a player retires, withdraws, is defaulted, or is disqualified, or the match otherwise begins but is not completed, this market will resolve based on any outcome that was already unequivocally determined at the time play stopped. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the match been played to completion using the minimum number of additional sets required. For example, for a line of 2.5, if play stops with the players at one set each, completing the match would have required at least one additional set, resulting in at least 3 sets played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. If neither outcome was already determined at the time play stopped, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or has not been completed by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless an outcome was already unequivocally determined as described above. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,266.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor scaling into Over
A highly profitable bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Over 3.5 position.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $80,199 lifetime, buying at average odds of 49%.
- They are adding $1,160 to an existing Over 3.5 position at 65¢, indicating continued conviction.
- The wallet has traded across 38 events and generated $109,545 in cross-market volume.
$1,160 on Over 3.5 | Wallet win rate: 84%
97% win-rate tennis specialist
A highly proven cross-market bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a fresh $1,850 bet on Over 3.5 sets.
- This bettor has won 465 of 478 resolved positions—97%—while averaging 56% entry odds.
- The wallet is up $440,009 across $2.26 million invested and actively trades hundreds of events.
- A fresh $1,850 buy at 65¢ backs Over 3.5 sets in a liquid market.
$5,000 on Over 3.5 | Wallet win rate: 98%
97% win-rate tennis specialist
A highly proven cross-market bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a fresh $1,850 bet on Over 3.5 sets.
- This bettor has won 465 of 478 resolved positions—97%—while averaging 56% entry odds.
- The wallet is up $440,009 across $2.26 million invested and actively trades hundreds of events.
- A fresh $1,850 buy at 65¢ backs Over 3.5 sets in a liquid market.
$1,850 on Over 3.5 | Wallet win rate: 98%
Elite bettor buys Over 3.5
A highly experienced bettor with 2,694 resolved trades and an 81% win rate made a substantial fresh purchase of Over 3.5 in a relatively quiet market.
- This bettor has won 81% of 2,694 resolved trades and earned $6.3 million in profit.
- They placed a $12,256 Over 3.5 bet, more than 13 times the detected 24-hour market volume.
- The 64¢ entry is near the current ask, suggesting strong conviction rather than passive positioning.
$12,256 on Over 3.5 | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0xdc7a...2703 — Under 3.5, $833 (84% win rate)
- 0x7547...d158 — Under 3.5, $600
- 0x2ffd...e7c6 — Under 3.5, $294
- 0x5c54...f1d2 — Under 3.5, $269
- 0x2b9d...3373 — Under 3.5, $238
- 0x7179...7d79 — Under 3.5, $152
- 0x9d8a...5201 — Under 3.5, $143 (30% win rate)
- 0x2903...9203 — Under 3.5, $126 (84% win rate)
- 0x2250...7520 — Under 3.5, $87
- 0x17ef...9a2c — Under 3.5, $73
Related Theses
Colts beat Commanders decisively
Covers 5 related markets
Steelers cover the spread
Covers 3 related markets
Ravens-Cowboys stays close and low-scoring
Covers 3 related markets
