Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev
18 signals across 1 market · $156,635 tracked · resolves May 19, 2026
This event tracks the Polymarket prediction market for Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia. Traders are pricing which player will advance, with PolySpotter tracking $1,846 in smart money and a recent signal showing a 99% winner backing the underdog.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster backing underdog
Nine wallets bought nearly $40k of Tirante in a high-volume tennis market, including one sharp 88% winner and a very profitable $8M lifetime wallet, though there is opposing Medvedev flow too.
$39,543Score: 22.8 - 88% sharp joins cluster
Sharp 88% winning bettor with strong lifetime profit is buying Tirante amid one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-match volume spike.
$2,450Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 16.9 - Sharp cluster buying favorite
Nine wallets bought $39.7k of Medvedev amid a 99x volume spike and 17-point price move, led by a wallet with a 22-0 resolved record and strong profit.
$39,650Score: 13.9 - Profitable serial trader joins cluster
Profitable serial sports trader joined a 7-wallet one-sided move on Medvedev, with a major pre-event volume spike and price jumping from the trader's 49¢ entry to 58¢.
$9,000Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 12.2 - Perfect-record tennis whale
Elite tennis bettor with a perfect 111-0 resolved record and $1.75M profit bought Daniil Medvedev amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$8,550Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 10.2 - Perfect-record tennis whale
A perfect-record sports bettor with large lifetime profit bought Medvedev before a sharp move from 59% to 80%, supported by a major pre-event volume spike.
$11,182Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 7.9 - New profitable tennis wallet
New 4-day-old wallet with early profit is repeatedly betting Medvedev, alongside a pre-event volume spike and rapid price move upward.
$1,400Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 7.6 - Profitable serial sports sharp
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 79% resolved win rate and $2.25M profit is buying Tirante as a 41¢ underdog.
$6,369Wallet win rate: 44%Score: 7.0 - Proven tennis sharp buying favorite
A proven 79% winner with $136k profit and a long cross-market history bought $4k of Medvedev amid a major volume spike and 21-point price move.
$4,000Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 6.7 - Profitable wallets backing underdog
Three profitable wallets are collectively taking the underdog side against Medvedev, but the signal is moderate because the size is small relative to market liquidity and price has moved against them.
$6,316Score: 6.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x862836…6f0b$11,182 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x0ebbb3…cb1a$9,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0xf1528f…64aa$8,862 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0x8a3ab8…eb9a$8,550 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x19254b…4654$6,369 · 1 market · 1 alert · 44% wins
- 0x0979ba…8d9b$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0xe4d384…c2f0$4,760 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0x4f7582…af7e$4,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xee782c…cbb9$3,240 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0x1ef5bc…dc05$2,450 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
FAQs
What are the Tirante vs Medvedev Polymarket odds?
The event market prices the chance that either Thiago Agustin Tirante or Daniil Medvedev advances. Check the live Polymarket odds on the event hub to see how traders are valuing each side before and during the match.
What is the smart money doing on Tirante vs Medvedev?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,846 in smart money across this event, including one recent signal: a 99% winner backing the underdog. That suggests at least one highly successful trader sees value away from the obvious favorite.
What outcomes are traded in this event?
This event covers the match winner/advancement outcome: Tirante advances or Medvedev advances. The market resolves based on which player advances in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia match.
When does the Tirante vs Medvedev market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the match result is known, with a listed resolution deadline of May 19, 2026. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules, resolution follows Polymarket's stated settlement criteria.