Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev
This prediction market covers the Internazionali BNL d'Italia tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Daniil Medvedev, scheduled for May 12, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 19, 2026 if the match is completed under the market rules. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,846 in smart money and 1 signal, including a recent alert that a 99% winner backed the underdog.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Daniil Medvedev in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,846.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
92% win-rate tennis bettor
Sharp-wallet override: a profitable bettor with a 92% resolved win rate bought Daniil Medvedev at 59¢ in a liquid tennis market.
- This bettor has won 12 of 13 resolved trades and is up about $9K lifetime.
- Their past wins beat market odds by 22 points on average, suggesting real edge rather than just favorites.
- They bought Daniil Medvedev at 59¢, slightly above the current 58% market price.
$1,000 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 92%
99% winner backs underdog
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 99% resolved win record bought Thiago Agustin Tirante at 42¢, backed by a long serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $135K lifetime.
- They have traded across 182 events with a 99% hit rate, making the wallet itself the signal.
- Entry at 42¢ implies they see Tirante as a strong value despite the market pricing him below Medvedev.
$1,846 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0x4698...d7a5 — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $13,831 (99% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Daniil Medvedev, $2,413 (55% win rate)
- 0x09b6...f48d — Daniil Medvedev, $2,300 (48% win rate)
- 0x03f8...d85a — Daniil Medvedev, $1,682 (92% win rate)
- 0xd0ff...24e3 — Daniil Medvedev, $1,447 (84% win rate)
- 0x4951...3038 — Daniil Medvedev, $1,186
- 0x6e75...50d7 — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $1,130 (53% win rate)
- 0x7ca1...aea0 — Thiago Agustin Tirante, $1,078 (37% win rate)
- 0xadfb...c2ef — Daniil Medvedev, $1,000
- 0x5213...6a35 — Daniil Medvedev, $932 (83% win rate)
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