Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone
7 signals across 1 market · $33,021 tracked · resolves May 25, 2026
This Geneva Open prediction market tracks the match between Marco Trungelliti and Mariano Navone, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has tracked $1,226 in smart-money activity across the event, including a signal from a profitable serial sports trader.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp tennis wallets flipped odds
Surface because a profitable 81% sports bettor joined a same-side Marco cluster before a major odds move, though opposing Navone flow makes it less clean.
$4,189Score: 20.7 - Profitable traders buying collapse
A coordinated $12.3k contrarian buy on Mariano Navone is notable because it includes very high-volume, profitable tennis-style wallets, though the market has moved sharply against the early entries.
$12,310Score: 15.5 - Coordinated tennis steam
Coordinated Marco buying hit before a 50-point odds move, backed by a serial cross-market bettor, though the current 86¢ price is well above the original entry zone.
$11,132Score: 14.3 - 85% tennis bettor buying favorite
Sharp sports bettor with an 85% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Mariano Navone at 81¢ amid a pre-match volume spike.
$1,232Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 7.0 - 92% winner fading favorite
A highly profitable 92% winner made a contrarian sell of Navone, effectively backing Trungelliti, though the market has since moved sharply against the trade.
$1,856Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 6.0 - Profitable serial sports trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Marco Trungelliti at 15¢ and the market has already moved to 22¢.
$1,226Wallet win rate: 57%Score: 3.3 - 85% win-rate tennis sharp
Sharp profitable tennis bettor with an 85% resolved win rate is effectively backing Marco Trungelliti at 29¢ against current 32¢ odds.
$1,077Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe9d31c…079f$2,309 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 85% wins
- 0xc181a8…0992$1,856 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x2c3350…0563$1,226 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for Trungelliti vs Navone?
The live Polymarket odds reflect the market-implied chances that Marco Trungelliti or Mariano Navone advances in their Geneva Open match. Check the event page for the latest price movement across the available outcome.
What is the smart money doing on this match?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,226 in smart-money activity on the event, including one recent signal tied to a profitable serial sports trader.
How does this Polymarket event resolve?
The market resolves to Marco Trungelliti if he advances against Mariano Navone, and to Mariano Navone if he advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the stated rules without a winner, special resolution rules may apply.
When does the Trungelliti vs Navone market resolve?
The event is scheduled around the Geneva Open match originally set for May 18, 2026, and the listed resolution deadline is May 25, 2026 at 08:00 UTC.