Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
8 signals across 1 market · $57,549 tracked · resolves May 4, 2026
This Madrid Open prediction market tracks who will advance in Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida Aguilar, with odds updating as traders price each player's chances. PolySpotter has tracked $57,549 in smart money across 8 signals, including a 4-wallet Tsitsipas pile-in, funded-wallet cluster activity, and notable high-win-rate bettor moves.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 4-wallet Tsitsipas pile-in
Four wallets piled into Tsitsipas within minutes for $22.7k during a 277x volume spike, led by a high-volume profitable bettor, making this coordinated sports flow worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.
$22,708Score: 11.9 - 6-wallet funded cluster
A newly created wallet from a 6-wallet linked cluster is taking the Tsitsipas side via a sell of Daniel Merida Aguilar, suggesting coordinated conviction from one actor rather than a random single bet.
$2,040Score: 11.1 - 86% win-rate sports bettor
A proven high-win-rate sports trader with broad cross-market activity just put nearly $4.8k on Tsitsipas at 65¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the market being fairly liquid.
$4,797Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 8.0 - 92% win-rate underdog bet
A very sharp wallet with a 92% win rate bought the underdog at 35¢ during an extreme pre-match volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade candidate.
$4,814Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 6.7 - Repeat new-wallet whale
A very new wallet has already made multiple large bets and just put another $11.4k into a mainstream tennis market, suggesting real conviction even though the track record is still tiny.
$11,427Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.0 - 97% win-rate bettor
A proven sharp bettor with a 97% win rate and nearly $100k in profit is buying Tsitsipas at 69¢, making this worth surfacing despite the modest ticket size.
$1,655Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 4.0 - 76% win-rate sports bettor
A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $181k profit is backing Tsitsipas, making this a credible copy-trade despite the otherwise routine market conditions.
$7,927Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 4.0 - $6.5M profit sharp bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 72% win rate and $6.5M profit is taking the underdog at 31¢ in a liquid tennis market, making this worth surfacing despite only one signal.
$2,181Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe807b8…307c$11,427 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x479e33…91c3$7,927 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0x2b031f…2c36$4,814 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0x7d116c…99ca$4,797 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$2,181 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0x362f12…94db$2,040 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0x462d51…ce9b$1,655 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Tsitsipas vs Merida Aguilar?
The live Polymarket odds show how traders are pricing Stefanos Tsitsipas and Daniel Merida Aguilar to advance in their Madrid Open match. PolySpotter tracks those prices alongside smart money flows so you can see whether odds moves are backed by notable wallets.
What is the smart money doing on Tsitsipas vs Merida Aguilar?
Recent PolySpotter alerts flagged a 4-wallet pile-in on Tsitsipas, a 6-wallet funded cluster, and activity from an 86% win-rate sports bettor. These signals suggest coordinated or high-conviction trading worth watching as match time approaches.
Are any sharp bettors backing the underdog?
Yes. One recent alert highlighted a 92% win-rate underdog bet, indicating at least one historically successful wallet took a contrarian position in this market.
How much smart money has been tracked on this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $57,549 in smart money across 8 signals for the Tsitsipas vs Merida Aguilar Madrid Open market.
When does the Tsitsipas vs Merida Aguilar market resolve?
The market resolves based on which player advances in the match. It is scheduled to resolve by May 4, 2026, with cancellation or major delay rules applying if the match is not played as expected.