Event

Bitcoin above ___ on April 16?

14 signals across 2 markets · $46,905 tracked · resolves Apr 16, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin will close above key price levels at noon ET on April 16, including $74,000 and $76,000 BTC/USDT outcomes. PolySpotter is tracking $46,905 in smart money across 14 signals, with recent activity from a 92% win-rate BTC trader, profitable expiry traders, and a new BTC bull wallet.

Markets (2)

  1. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16?13 signals · $45,785 tracked
  2. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16?1 signal · $1,120 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial timer

    A proven high-volume trader with $338k lifetime profit made a sizable near-resolution bet in a fast-moving BTC market, a pattern this wallet has repeated successfully across multiple markets.

    $5,762Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 11.8
  2. Profitable serial timer

    A profitable high-volume serial timer bought Yes less than an hour before resolution into a market seeing a sharp pre-resolution volume and price spike, making the flow worth monitoring despite the modest single-ticket size.

    $1,277Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 9.8
  3. 92% win-rate BTC trader

    A highly proven 92% win-rate trader sold No in this BTC market, equivalent to buying Yes around 32¢, and their trade coincided with a sharp 23-point move.

    $2,248Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 9.0
  4. Profitable BTC expiry trader

    A high-volume BTC expiry market drew a profitable cross-market trader who effectively bought Yes at 49¢ nearly an hour before resolution, a price now well in the money at 68¢.

    $3,816Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 6.0
  5. New wallet BTC bull

    A 1-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and is adding another sizable bullish Bitcoin position, suggesting early high-conviction flow worth watching despite limited track record.

    $2,392Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.5
  6. New wallet contrarian BTC bet

    A 1-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed sizable bets and is now buying No at 28¢ into a fast-rising BTC market, suggesting deliberate contrarian conviction despite limited history.

    $1,062Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.5
  7. Repeat new wallet BTC bet

    A very new wallet has repeatedly made sizable bets and is buying Yes at 23¢ equivalent pricing on a fast-moving BTC market, suggesting conviction despite limited track record.

    $2,576Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.5
  8. New whale buying BTC Yes

    A 1-day-old wallet with repeated $14.6k flagged betting is adding another $4.3k bullish BTC position in a liquid intraday market, suggesting real conviction despite limited history.

    $4,319Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.5
  9. New wallet buying BTC No

    A 1-day-old wallet with repeated large bets is building a nearly $4.9k No position at 24-25¢ in a fast-moving BTC market, an unusual early pattern worth watching despite limited history.

    $4,862Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.5
  10. New whale buying NO

    A 1-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed sizable bets and is now building a $6.1k No position in a liquid BTC market at 29-32¢, suggesting deliberate conviction rather than random activity.

    $6,078Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.5

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x74c986111e$32,681 · 1 market · 9 alerts · 100% wins
  2. 0x6e1d50d0fa$5,762 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
  3. 0xbc1f5a7631$3,816 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
  4. 0xc181a80992$2,248 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
  5. 0x0fe40e01b7$1,277 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
  6. 0xd57d7680d0$1,120 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin April 16 prediction market odds tracking?

This event covers multiple Bitcoin price-threshold markets for April 16, including whether BTC will be above $74,000 and $76,000 at the specified resolution time.

How does this Bitcoin Polymarket event resolve?

The markets resolve based on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 PM ET on April 16. If the final close is higher than the listed strike price, that market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No.

What is the smart money doing on Bitcoin April 16?

PolySpotter has tracked $46,905 in smart money across 14 signals for this event, including alerts from a 92% win-rate BTC trader, profitable BTC expiry traders, and a new wallet taking a bullish BTC position.

Why are there multiple child markets for this Bitcoin event?

Each child market represents a different Bitcoin price target. Instead of one yes-or-no BTC forecast, traders can price the likelihood of Bitcoin finishing above specific levels such as $74K or $76K.

Where can I track Bitcoin April 16 Polymarket odds?

You can follow the event hub on PolySpotter to see the live Polymarket odds, related BTC strike markets, and smart money alerts as traders reposition before resolution.